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Week 10 •
EverBank StadiumNeutral site

Georgia24 @FINAL 20Florida

6-1 SEC Power rating: 22.7
3-4 SEC Power rating: 14.8

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
UGA -7.0
PM Implied
UGA -6.2
Blue Chip model
UGA -7.9
Edge
-0.9UGA
See details
◂ favors UGAfavors FLA ▸Market: UGA -7.0
‹ 7.9 UGA
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
neutral
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
1 UGA1 FLA2 UGA2 FLAModel: UGA -7.9

Betting information

Spread
UGA -7.0
Total
50.5
Odds implied score
UGA 28.8 – 21.8 FLA
Prediction markets
UGA 73% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Georgia defeated Florida 24–20 in a closely contested finish. Florida covered by 3.0; Game went Under by 6.5. The market closed at Georgia -7.0 and the Blue Chip model made it Georgia -7.9. The two were within a point of each other, so there was no meaningful edge in this line.

What are the key factors for Georgia vs Florida?

Georgia

Comeback Victory Relies on Stockton and Branch

Gunner Stockton threw for 223 yards and 2 TDs, while Zachariah Branch caught 10 passes for 112 yards, leading Georgia's fourth come-from-behind win in six SEC games. This offensive duo is critical for future success.

Defensive Injuries and Ejections Create Holes

Georgia lost defensive lineman Jordan Hall (right knee) and defensive back KJ Bolden (targeting ejection) in the first half, exposing depth issues. The defense allowed Florida to stay close, raising concerns for upcoming games.

Rushing Attack Provides Late Spark

Chauncey Bowens' 36-yard go-ahead touchdown run in the fourth quarter, combined with Nate Frazier's contributions, gave Georgia 115 rushing yards. This ground game could be key against Mississippi State.

Team Ranked Last in SEC in Sacks

Georgia's pass rush remains a weakness, ranking last in the SEC in sacks. This could be exploited by Mississippi State's offense, making defensive adjustments crucial.

Playoff Hopes Diminished by Inconsistency

Despite the win, Georgia's multiple holes and reliance on comebacks suggest they are not a top playoff threat. They must improve consistency to stay competitive in the SEC and beyond.

Florida

Inspired but Inconsistent Performance

Florida played with renewed energy in their first game after firing coach Billy Napier, but still fell short. Receiver Eugene Wilson III had a breakout game with 9 catches for 121 yards and a touchdown, but the offense stalled in key moments, including a failed fourth-and-1 run that proved costly.

Aggressive Coaching Backfires

Interim coach Billy Gonzales made an aggressive call to go for it on fourth-and-1 at Georgia's 18-yard line with under 8 minutes left, but the predictable run up the middle was stuffed. This turnover on downs was a momentum-shifting moment that allowed Georgia to take the lead on the next drive.

Special Teams Bright Spot

Kicker Trey Smack set a school record with his ninth career field goal of 50+ yards, including a 54-yarder in the fourth quarter that briefly gave Florida a 20-17 lead. This reliability from long range could be a key factor in close games ahead.

Injury Concerns at Receiver

Freshman receiver Dallas Wilson, who had a promising start to the season with three touchdowns in his first two games, was seen in a walking boot after halftime. He has been quiet recently and his status for next week's game at Kentucky is uncertain.

Defensive Resilience but Late Collapse

Florida's defense held Georgia to just 24 points and forced a key stop on fourth down earlier, but they allowed a 36-yard touchdown run on the decisive drive. The unit showed fight but couldn't contain Georgia's passing attack, especially Zachariah Branch (10 catches, 112 yards).

What were the weather conditions for Georgia vs Florida?

At kickoff, conditions at EverBank Stadium were Clear, 67°F with winds of 7 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Georgia travels 270 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Georgia won by 4 in a closely contested finish.

Florida covered the spread.

The total went Under by 6.5 points.

How do Georgia and Florida compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Georgia (22.7) over Florida (14.8) by 7.9 points on a neutral field. Florida faces a power rating deficit at a neutral venue. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Neither team has a home-field advantage here, so the neutral-field differential above is already the venue-adjusted read.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Georgia and Florida?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Georgia won and Florida covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 1, 2025 Game-time

Clear

67°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity57%
Wind7 mph E
Gusts11 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Georgia at Florida: aerial view of EverBank Stadium, wind from the E at 6.7 mph, gusting to 10.7 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 10
Kickoff (local)
03:30 PM EDT
Venue
EverBank Stadium
Capacity
67,814
Elevation
20 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

GeorgiaAway FloridaHome
This week270 miles63 miles
Last weekBye weekBye week
Season total861 miles3,377 miles
Body clock15:3015:30
Rest14 days14 days

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