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Week 1 •
Gesa Field

Idaho10 @FINAL 13Washington State

0-0 Big Sky Power rating: -17.5
0-0 Pac-12 Power rating: -3.2

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
WSU -16.5
PM Implied
WSU -13.0
Blue Chip model
WSU -16.6
Edge
+0.1WSU
See details
◂ favors IDHOfavors WSU ▸Market: WSU -16.5
14.3 › WSU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
WSU
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
1 IDHO1 WSU2 IDHO2 WSUModel: WSU -16.6

Betting information

Spread
WSU -16.5
Total
50.5
Odds implied score
IDHO 17.0 – 33.5 WSU
Prediction markets
WSU 89% win chance (Kalshi)

ESPN Bet · as of July 10, 2026

Washington State defeated Idaho 13–10 in a nail-biter. Idaho covered by 13.5; Game went Under by 27.5. The market closed at Washington State -16.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Washington State -16.6. The two were within a point of each other, so there was no meaningful edge in this line.

What are the key factors for Idaho vs Washington State?

Washington State

Quarterback Uncertainty

Jaxon Potter started but was briefly benched for Julian Dugger, who struggled. Potter returned to lead a game-winning drive, but the QB situation remains unsettled, which could affect offensive consistency.

Offensive Struggles

The offense managed only 13 points against an FCS opponent, with Potter throwing for 209 yards and one TD. The running game was ineffective, and the team relied on a last-minute field goal to win, indicating potential issues against stronger defenses.

Defensive Resilience

The defense held Idaho to 10 points, including a late touchdown, and forced a key fumble that led to a tying field goal. This performance suggests the defense can keep games close, but they may need more support from the offense.

Special Teams Impact

Kicker Jack Stevens made a 30-yard field goal and the game-winning 32-yarder, but Cameron Pope missed a 44-yard attempt. Special teams were decisive, but inconsistency in kicking could be a concern.

Coaching Debut Win

Jimmy Rogers won his first game as head coach, but the narrow victory over an FCS team raises questions about the team's readiness for tougher opponents. The coaching staff will need to address offensive issues quickly.

What were the weather conditions for Idaho vs Washington State?

At kickoff, conditions at Gesa Field were Partly cloudy, 71°F with winds of 6 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Idaho travels 7 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Washington State won by 3 in a nail-biter.

Idaho covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 27.5 points.

How do Idaho and Washington State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Washington State (-3.2) over Idaho (-17.5) by 14.3 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Washington State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.3). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Idaho and Washington State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Washington State won and Idaho covered the spread.

Conditions

as of August 31, 2025 Game-time

Partly cloudy

71°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity36%
Wind6 mph E
Gusts12 mph
Wind map for Idaho at Washington State: aerial view of Gesa Field, wind from the E at 5.6 mph, gusting to 11.6 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 1
Kickoff (local)
07:00 PM PDT
Venue
Gesa Field
Capacity
32,952
Elevation
2,546 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

IdahoAway Washington StateHome
This week7 miles0 miles
Last weekBye weekBye week
Season total7 miles0 miles
Body clock19:0019:00
RestSeason openerSeason opener

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