Famous Idaho Potato Bowl •
Albertsons StadiumNeutral site

Washington State34 @FINAL 21Utah State , Postseason, Dec 22, 2025

6-6 Pac-12 Power rating: 1.7
6-6 MW Power rating: -1.9

How did the line hold up?

Market line
USU -1.5
PM Implied
USU -1.0
Blue Chip model
WSU -3.2
Edge
-4.7WSU
See details
◂ favors WSUfavors USU ▸Market: USU -1.5
WSU
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neutral
no impact
no impact
USU
no impact
2 WSU2 USU4 WSU4 USUModel: WSU -3.2

Betting information

Spread
USU -1.5
Total
50.5
Odds implied score
WSU 24.5 – 26.0 USU
Prediction markets
USU 55% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Washington State defeated Utah State 34–21 in a double-digit victory. Washington State covered by 14.5; Game went Over by 4.5. The market closed at Utah State -1.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Washington State -3.2 - a gap of 4.7 points toward Washington State, of which 4.3 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for Washington State vs Utah State?

At kickoff, conditions at Albertsons Stadium were Overcast, 43°F, wind chill 38°F with winds of 6 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Washington State travels 221 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Washington State arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Washington State won by 13 in a double-digit victory.

Washington State covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 4.5 points.

How do Washington State and Utah State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Washington State (1.7) over Utah State (-1.9) by 3.6 points on a neutral field. Utah State faces a power rating deficit at a neutral venue. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Neither team has a home-field advantage here, so the neutral-field differential above is already the venue-adjusted read.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Washington State won and Washington State covered the spread.

Conditions

as of December 22, 2025 Game-time

Overcast

43°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity91%
Wind6 mph E
Gusts12 mph
Wind chill38°F
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Washington State at Utah State: aerial view of Albertsons Stadium, wind from the E at 5.8 mph, gusting to 12.3 mph

Quick facts

Week
Postseason
Kickoff (local)
12:00 PM MST
Venue
Albertsons Stadium
Capacity
36,387
Elevation
2,723 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure Washington StateAway Utah StateHome
This week221 miles257 miles
Last weekBye weekBye week
Season total16,634 miles14,412 miles
Body clock11:0012:00
Rest23 days24 days