Week 7October 12, 2025, 12:00 AM UTC
33
5-0
Big 12
Power Rank: 19.9
@
FINAL
27
4-1
Big 12
Power Rank: 9.3

By · Last updated

BYU defeated Arizona 33–27 in a closely contested finish. BYU covered by 3.5; Game went Over by 13.5.

General Information

Week: Week 7
Kick Off (at stadium): 05:00 PM MST
Stadium: Arizona Stadium
Capacity: 50,782
Elevation: 2438 ft
HFA Rating: 2.3
Playing Surface: Artificial Turf

Betting Information

Spread BYU -2.5
Total (O/U) 46.5
Odds Implied Score BYU 24.5 - 22.0 ARIZ
Power Rank Implied Line BYU -10.6
Prediction Markets BYU 57% Win Chance (Kalshi)
BYU @ Arizona Preview

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BYU
Arizona
Home field: Arizona Stadium
Weather: Partly cloudy
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What were the weather conditions for BYU vs Arizona?

At kick-off, conditions at Arizona Stadium were Partly cloudy, 72.7°F, Feels Like 76.8°F with winds of 5.4 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: October 12, 2025
Partly cloudy

Partly cloudy

72.7°F

Feels Like: 76.8°F
Wind: 5.4 mph SSE
Gusts: 9.2 mph
Precipitation: 2.08"
Humidity: 76%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

BYU (Away)

This Week: 555.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 5009.4 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:00
Rest Days: 8

Arizona (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 2333.1 miles
Body Clock Time: 17:00
Rest Days: 8

What are the key factors for BYU vs Arizona?

BYU: Key Factors

Resilient Comeback and Overtime Win

BYU overcame a 10-point fourth-quarter deficit, tying the game with 19 seconds left on a 2-yard touchdown run by freshman QB Bear Bachmeier, then won in double overtime. This shows the team's mental toughness and ability to perform under pressure, which could be crucial against Utah.

Freshman QB Bear Bachmeier's Dual-Threat Ability

Bachmeier threw for 172 yards, one TD, and two interceptions, but also ran for 89 yards and two TDs on 22 carries, including the game-winner in OT. His rushing ability adds a dynamic element to the offense, but his interceptions highlight inconsistency that Utah's defense may exploit.

Strong Running Game Led by LJ Martin

LJ Martin rushed for a career-high 162 yards and a touchdown, providing a reliable ground attack. This balance will be key against Utah's defense, as controlling the clock and keeping the chains moving can limit Utah's offensive opportunities.

Defensive Stand in Overtime

BYU's defense forced a fourth-down incompletion in the end zone to seal the win, despite allowing 27 points. Linebacker Siale Esera had 16 tackles, but the unit showed vulnerability on Arizona's 36-yard TD run. Improving run defense will be critical against Utah's rushing attack.

Undefeated Record and Big 12 Implications

BYU improved to 6-0 (3-0 Big 12) for the second straight season, maintaining their undefeated status. The win keeps them in contention for the Big 12 title, and the upcoming rivalry game against Utah (Oct. 18) will be a major test of their championship credentials.

Arizona: Key Factors

Heartbreaking Double Overtime Loss

Arizona lost 33-27 in double overtime to No. 18 BYU after leading by 10 points in the fourth quarter. The Wildcats had a chance to tie in the second OT but Noah Fifita's fourth-down pass was dropped in the end zone, marking their second loss in three games.

Offensive Highlights and Key Performers

Noah Fifita threw for 219 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception. Kris Hutson had 106 receiving yards and a touchdown on nine catches. Kedrick Reescano added a powerful 36-yard touchdown run, but the offense stalled in the fourth quarter and overtime.

Defensive Struggles in Critical Moments

Arizona's defense allowed BYU to rally from a 10-point deficit in the fourth quarter, giving up a game-tying touchdown with 19 seconds left. The unit also failed to stop BYU's freshman quarterback on key runs, including the game-winning 7-yard touchdown in double overtime.

Weather Delay Impact

The game was delayed 75 minutes early in the second quarter due to lightning from Hurricane Priscilla's remnants. Arizona led 14-7 at the time but struggled to maintain momentum after the break, though they still took a 17-14 halftime lead.

Next Game Outlook at Houston

Arizona (4-2, 1-2 Big 12) travels to Houston on Oct. 18. The Wildcats need to bounce back from this tough loss and improve their consistency, especially in closing out games, to stay competitive in the conference race.

What happened in the game?

BYU travels 555 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

BYU arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

BYU won by 6 in a closely contested finish.

BYU covered the spread.

The total went Over by 13.5 points.

How do BYU and Arizona compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour BYU (19.9) over Arizona (9.3) by 10.6 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Arizona faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Arizona brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.3). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

BYU won and BYU covered the spread.