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Week 7 •
Rice-Eccles Stadium

Arizona State10 @FINAL 42Utah

4-1 Big 12 Power rating: 11.3
4-1 Big 12 Power rating: 23.7

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
UTAH -9.5
PM Implied
UTAH -7.0
Blue Chip model
UTAH -15.5
Edge
+6.0UTAH
See details
◂ favors ASUfavors UTAH ▸Market: UTAH -9.5
12.4 › UTAH
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
UTAH
no impact
no impact
UTAH
ASU
2 ASU2 UTAH4 ASU4 UTAH6 ASU6 UTAHModel: UTAH -15.5

Betting information

Spread
UTAH -9.5
Total
44.5
Odds implied score
ASU 17.5 – 27.0 UTAH
Prediction markets
UTAH 76% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Utah defeated Arizona State 42–10 in a dominant performance. Utah covered by 22.5; Game went Over by 7.5. The market closed at Utah -9.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Utah -15.5 - a gap of 6.0 points toward Utah, of which 4.6 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What are the key factors for Arizona State vs Utah?

Arizona State

Run defense exposed

Arizona State entered the game allowing only 78.2 rushing yards per game, but Utah gashed them for 276 yards and six touchdowns on the ground, including 120 yards and three TDs from QB Devin Dampier. This suggests a major vulnerability that Texas Tech may exploit.

Pass rush neutralized

The Sun Devils were fourth in the FBS with 19 sacks this season, but they failed to sack Dampier once. Utah's offensive line and Dampier's mobility nullified ASU's strength, which could be a concern against a high-powered offense like Texas Tech.

Offensive struggles without Leavitt

Starting QB Sam Leavitt missed the game with a foot injury, and backup Jeff Sims completed only 18 of 38 passes for 124 yards. The offense managed just 10 points and relied on 4-of-4 fourth-down conversions to sustain drives. Leavitt's status for next week is critical.

Jordyn Tyson contained

Wide receiver Jordyn Tyson, a key playmaker, had eight receptions but for only 40 yards on 16 targets, with his only score coming on a 3-yard end around. Utah's secondary held him in check, which could be a blueprint for Texas Tech's defense.

Momentum shift after blocked field goal

Arizona State's Jesus Gomez had a 38-yard field goal blocked by Jackson Bennee, leading to a Utah touchdown drive that extended the lead to 21-3 at halftime. Coach Dillingham called it a 'catastrophic change' in the game, highlighting how special teams mistakes can swing momentum.

What were the weather conditions for Arizona State vs Utah?

At kickoff, conditions at Rice-Eccles Stadium were Heavy rain, 33°F, wind chill 26°F with winds of 6 mph. At 33°F, cold is worth noting but is unlikely to be decisive. There is a 100% chance of rain, though little accumulation is expected. Blue Chip has not been able to measure a reliable line effect from rain, so treat this as context rather than signal. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Arizona State travels 506 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Arizona State arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Utah won by 32 in a dominant performance.

Utah covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 7.5 points.

How do Arizona State and Utah compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Utah (23.7) over Arizona State (11.3) by 12.4 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Utah brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Arizona State and Utah?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Utah won and Utah covered the spread.

Conditions

as of October 12, 2025 Game-time

Heavy rain

33°F

Rain100%
Precip0.08"
Humidity96%
Wind6 mph WSW
Gusts7 mph
Wind chill26°F
Wind map for Arizona State at Utah: aerial view of Rice-Eccles Stadium, wind from the WSW at 5.8 mph, gusting to 7.2 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 7
Kickoff (local)
08:15 PM MDT
Venue
Rice-Eccles Stadium
Capacity
51,444
Elevation
4,656 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Arizona StateAway UtahHome
This week506 miles0 miles
Last weekBye weekBye week
Season total4,922 miles5,164 miles
Body clock19:1520:15
Rest15 days15 days

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