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Week 7 •
FAU Stadium

UAB33 @FINAL 53Florida Atlantic

2-3 American Power rating: -13.4
2-3 American Power rating: -11.0

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
FAU -4.5
PM Implied
FAU -4.1
Blue Chip model
FAU -4.7
Edge
+0.2FAU
See details
◂ favors UABfavors FAU ▸Market: FAU -4.5
FAU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
FAU
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
1 UAB1 FAU2 UAB2 FAUModel: FAU -4.7

Betting information

Spread
FAU -4.5
Total
66.5
Odds implied score
UAB 31.0 – 35.5 FAU
Prediction markets
FAU 66% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Florida Atlantic defeated UAB 53–33 to secure a comfortable win. Florida Atlantic covered by 15.5; Game went Over by 19.5. The market closed at Florida Atlantic -4.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Florida Atlantic -4.7. The two were within a point of each other, so there was no meaningful edge in this line.

What are the key factors for UAB vs Florida Atlantic?

Florida Atlantic

Explosive Offensive Performance

Florida Atlantic scored 53 points, with Caden Veltkamp throwing for 3 TDs and Kaden Shields-Dutton rushing for 3 TDs, plus a trick play TD pass. The team totaled 492 yards, showing a potent and versatile attack.

Fast Start and Dominant First Half

The Owls jumped to a 28-0 lead early in the second quarter, including three touchdowns in the first quarter. This quick start set the tone and forced UAB to play catch-up.

Defensive and Disciplined Edge

Florida Atlantic's defense held UAB to 68 rushing yards on 28 carries and forced 14 penalties for 118 yards on UAB. This defensive pressure and opponent mistakes contributed to the win.

Improved Record and Conference Standing

The win improved Florida Atlantic to 3-3 overall and 2-1 in the American Athletic Conference, keeping them competitive in the conference race.

Key Players to Watch

Quarterback Caden Veltkamp and running back Kaden Shields-Dutton are central to the offense, with Veltkamp's passing and Shields-Dutton's rushing providing a balanced threat. The trick play involving Easton Messer and Jayshon Platt adds a creative element.

What were the weather conditions for UAB vs Florida Atlantic?

At kickoff, conditions at FAU Stadium were Moderate or heavy rain shower, 76°F with winds of 6 mph. There is a 100% chance of rain, though little accumulation is expected. Blue Chip has not been able to measure a reliable line effect from rain, so treat this as context rather than signal. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

UAB travels 636 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

UAB arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Florida Atlantic won by 20 to secure a comfortable win.

Florida Atlantic covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 19.5 points.

How do UAB and Florida Atlantic compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Florida Atlantic (-11.0) over UAB (-13.4) by 2.4 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Florida Atlantic brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.3). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on UAB and Florida Atlantic?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Florida Atlantic won and Florida Atlantic covered the spread.

Conditions

as of October 11, 2025 Game-time

Moderate or heavy rain shower

76°F

Rain100%
Precip0.06"
Humidity89%
Wind6 mph NW
Gusts9 mph
Wind map for UAB at Florida Atlantic: aerial view of FAU Stadium, wind from the NW at 6 mph, gusting to 8.7 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 7
Kickoff (local)
06:00 PM EDT
Venue
FAU Stadium
Capacity
30,000
Elevation
16 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

UABAway Florida AtlanticHome
This week636 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game1,925 miles
Season total2,478 miles3,794 miles
Body clock17:0018:00
Rest7 days7 days

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