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Week 7 •
Jordan-Hare Stadium

Georgia20 @FINAL 10Auburn

4-1 SEC Power rating: 21.9
3-2 SEC Power rating: 12.0

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
UGA -4.5
PM Implied
UGA -3.7
Blue Chip model
UGA -7.8
Edge
-3.3UGA
See details
◂ favors UGAfavors AUB ▸Market: UGA -4.5
‹ 9.9 UGA
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
AUB
AUB
no impact
no impact
no impact
1 UGA1 AUB2 UGA2 AUB3 UGA3 AUBModel: UGA -7.8

Betting information

Spread
UGA -4.5
Total
46.5
Odds implied score
UGA 25.5 – 21.0 AUB
Prediction markets
UGA 65% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Georgia defeated Auburn 20–10 in a double-digit victory. Georgia covered by 5.5; Game went Under by 16.5. The market closed at Georgia -4.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Georgia -7.8, an edge of 3.3 points toward Georgia.

What are the key factors for Georgia vs Auburn?

Georgia

Goal-line fumble swing

Georgia forced a critical fumble at the goal line late in the second quarter, preventing Auburn from taking a 17-0 lead. This 10-point swing shifted momentum, allowing Georgia to score a field goal before halftime and dominate the second half.

Second-half dominance

After a sluggish first half with under 100 yards, Georgia outscored Auburn 20-0 in the second half, holding the Tigers to just 50 yards. The defense tightened up, and the offense found rhythm, converting key fourth downs and sealing the win with a late bootleg touchdown.

Resilience and coaching

Coach Kirby Smart praised the team's refusal to quit, highlighting the Bulldogs' ability to overcome early struggles. The win extends Georgia's series winning streak to nine games, showcasing their mental toughness in rivalry matchups.

Upcoming challenge vs. Ole Miss

Georgia hosts unbeaten No. 4 Ole Miss next Saturday. The Bulldogs will need to improve their first-half offensive production and third-down conversions (0-for-7 early) to compete with a high-powered Rebels team.

Auburn

Goal-line fumble swing

Auburn was on the verge of going up 17-0 late in the second quarter when Jackson Arnold fumbled at the goal line, with the call controversially not overturned despite replays showing the ball may have broken the plane. This 10-point swing shifted momentum completely, as Georgia scored a field goal before halftime and dominated the second half.

Second-half offensive collapse

After the fumble, Auburn managed only 50 total yards in the second half, failing to sustain drives or score any points. The offense, which had been effective early, completely stalled, highlighting an inability to adjust or execute when the game tightened.

Defense remains strong but wasted

Auburn's defense played well overall, holding Georgia to just 20 points and forcing early third-down failures (0-for-7 to start). However, the offense's inability to capitalize on defensive stops and the critical turnover left the defense on the field too long, leading to fatigue and eventual breakdowns.

Three-game losing streak pattern

Auburn has now lost three straight SEC games (Oklahoma, Texas A&M, Georgia), with the defense giving them a chance in each but the offense failing to close. Coach Hugh Freeze noted the team 'finds ways to not win,' pointing to recurring issues in critical moments.

Next up: No. 14 Missouri at home

Auburn hosts Missouri next Saturday, needing to correct offensive consistency and avoid another slow start or late-game collapse. The defense must continue its strong play, but the offense must find a way to finish drives and avoid turnovers to compete against a ranked opponent.

What were the weather conditions for Georgia vs Auburn?

At kickoff, conditions at Jordan-Hare Stadium were Cloudy, 65°F with winds of 5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Georgia travels 154 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Georgia arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Georgia won by 10 in a double-digit victory.

Georgia covered the spread.

The total went Under by 16.5 points.

How do Georgia and Auburn compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Georgia (21.9) over Auburn (12.0) by 9.9 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Auburn faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Auburn brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.3). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Georgia and Auburn?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Georgia won and Georgia covered the spread.

Conditions

as of October 11, 2025 Game-time

Cloudy

65°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity77%
Wind5 mph NNE
Gusts11 mph
Wind map for Georgia at Auburn: aerial view of Jordan-Hare Stadium, wind from the NNE at 5.1 mph, gusting to 10.7 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 7
Kickoff (local)
06:30 PM CDT
Venue
Jordan-Hare Stadium
Capacity
88,043
Elevation
686 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

GeorgiaAway AuburnHome
This week154 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameBye week
Season total437 miles4,098 miles
Body clock19:3018:30
Rest7 days14 days

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