Week 9
Plaster Sports Complex

Sam Houston @ Missouri State , Week 9, Oct 28, 2026

0-0 CUSA Power rating: -24.1
0-0 CUSA Power rating: -15.7

Is there value in the Sam Houston vs Missouri State line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
MOST -11.7
Edge
No line posted
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8.4 › MOST
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1 SHSU1 MOST2 SHSU2 MOSTModel: MOST -11.7

Missouri State (power rating: -15.7) holds a 8.4-point advantage over Sam Houston (-24.1) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Missouri State's home field adds 2.5 points to that advantage at Plaster Sports Complex. Beyond home field, the model charges the heat, with a slighter reading for Missouri State's extra rest. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Sam Houston vs Missouri State at Plaster Sports Complex?

The latest reading for Plaster Sports Complex shows Clear, 91°F, heat index 92°F with winds of 12 mph. Gusts reaching 28 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Sam Houston and Missouri State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Missouri State (-15.7) over Sam Houston (-24.1) by 8.4 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Missouri State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Missouri State -11.7. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of September 5, 2026 Preliminary

Clear

91°F

Rain2%
Precip0.00"
Humidity38%
Wind12 mph S
Gusts28 mph
Heat index92°F
Wind map for Sam Houston at Missouri State: aerial view of Plaster Sports Complex, wind from the S at 11.6 mph, gusting to 28 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 9
Kickoff (local)
07:00 PM CDT
Venue
Plaster Sports Complex
Capacity
17,500
Elevation
1,339 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure Sam HoustonAway Missouri StateHome
This week465 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game1,929 miles
Season total4,537 miles4,377 miles
Body clock19:0019:00
Rest6 days8 days

Sam Houston travels 465 miles to this game, a moderate road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.