Missouri State (power rating: -15.7) holds a 8.4-point advantage over Sam Houston (-24.1) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Missouri State's home field adds 2.5 points to that advantage at Plaster Sports Complex. Beyond home field, the model charges the heat, with a slighter reading for Missouri State's extra rest. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.
The latest reading for Plaster Sports Complex shows Clear, 91°F, heat index 92°F with winds of 12 mph. Gusts reaching 28 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Clear
91°F

| Measure | Sam HoustonAway | Missouri StateHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 465 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Home game | 1,929 miles |
| Season total | 4,537 miles | 4,377 miles |
| Body clock | 19:00 | 19:00 |
| Rest | 6 days | 8 days |
Sam Houston travels 465 miles to this game, a moderate road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.