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Week 3 •
Hornet Stadium

North Dakota State @ Sacramento State

1-0 MW Power rating: -12.8
0-1 MAC Power rating: -24.5

By · Last updated

Is there value in the North Dakota State vs Sacramento State line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
ND St -8.3
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors ND Stfavors SAC ▸
‹ 11.7 ND St
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
SAC
no impact
SAC
no impact
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1 ND St1 SAC2 ND St2 SACModel: ND St -8.3

North Dakota State (power rating: -12.8) carries a 11.7-point advantage over Sacramento State (-24.5) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Sacramento State's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5) narrows that gap at Hornet Stadium. Beyond home field, the model also charges North Dakota State's westward trip. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect North Dakota State vs Sacramento State at Hornet Stadium?

The latest reading for Hornet Stadium shows Cloudy, 69°F with winds of 5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do North Dakota State and Sacramento State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor North Dakota State (-12.8) over Sacramento State (-24.5) by 11.7 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Sacramento State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Sacramento State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on North Dakota State and Sacramento State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Blue Chip makes this North Dakota State -8.3. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of September 5, 2026 Preliminary

Cloudy

69°F

Rain5%
Precip0.00"
Humidity40%
Wind5 mph SW
Gusts9 mph
Wind map for North Dakota State at Sacramento State: aerial view of Hornet Stadium, wind from the SW at 5.4 mph, gusting to 9.4 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 3
Kickoff (local)
07:30 PM PDT
Venue
Hornet Stadium
Capacity
21,195
Elevation
49 ft
Surface
Unknown

Travel and rest

North Dakota StateAway Sacramento StateHome
This week1,371 miles0 miles
Last week1,361 miles302 miles
Season total2,732 miles4,286 miles
Body clock21:3019:30
Rest7 days7 days

North Dakota State travels 1,371 miles to this game, a significant road trip. That is a westward shift of 2 time zones, the one travel pattern Blue Chip has measured as carrying a consistent price: about 0.9 points, with the distance burden already inside it.

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