Week 15
FargodomeIndoor

Illinois State29 @FINAL 28North Dakota State , Week 15, Dec 6, 2025

0-0 MVFC Power rating: -17.9
12-0 MVFC Power rating: 1.0

How did the line hold up?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
ND St -22.1
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors ILSTfavors ND St ▸
18.9 › ND St
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1 ILST1 ND St2 ILST2 ND StModel: ND St -22.1

Illinois State defeated North Dakota State 29–28 in a nail-biter. Blue Chip Analytics had rated North Dakota State 18.9 points stronger on a neutral field.

What were the weather conditions for Illinois State vs North Dakota State?

This game was played indoors at Fargodome in a climate-controlled environment. Weather was not a factor.

What happened in the game?

Illinois State travels 589 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Illinois State won by 1 in a nail-biter.

How do Illinois State and North Dakota State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor North Dakota State (1.0) over Illinois State (-17.9) by 18.9 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. North Dakota State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Illinois State won this game.

Conditions

Indoor, climate controlled

~72°F

Fargodome is a domed venue. Wind, precipitation and temperature are not factors in this game.

Wind map for Illinois State at North Dakota State: aerial view of Fargodome

Quick facts

Week
Week 15
Kickoff (local)
12:00 PM CST
Venue
Fargodome
Capacity
18,700
Elevation
902 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure Illinois StateAway North Dakota StateHome
This week589 miles0 miles
Last weekBye weekBye week
Season total1,766 miles7,516 miles
Body clock12:0012:00
Rest7 days14 days