Memphis (power rating: 5.3) carries a 7.0-point advantage over South Florida (-1.7) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. South Florida's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 3.0) narrows that gap at Raymond James Stadium. Beyond home field, the model charges Memphis's bye week, with a slighter reading for the conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.
The latest reading for Raymond James Stadium shows Cloudy, 74°F with winds of 11 mph. Gusts reaching 22 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Cloudy
74°F

| Measure | MemphisAway | South FloridaHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 660 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Bye week | 1,211 miles |
| Season total | 8,278 miles | 7,099 miles |
| Body clock | 19:00 | 20:00 |
| Rest | 13 days | 6 days |
Memphis travels 660 miles to this game, a moderate road trip. Memphis arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.