South Florida (power rating: 5.3) holds a 4.1-point edge over Memphis (1.2) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. South Florida's home field adds 2.4 points to that edge at Raymond James Stadium. Memphis travels 660 miles for this game, check the travel panel for rest and body clock context. See Line Value below.
Adjust any factor to update your projected line
Positive adjustment = favours home team
Game-time forecast at Raymond James Stadium shows Clear, 85.3°F, Heat Index 92.0°F with winds of 4.5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. The weather adjustment has been pre-filled in the Line Value Calculator above, adjust manually if conditions change before kick-off.
85.3°F
Memphis travels 660 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.
Memphis arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour South Florida (5.3) over Memphis (1.2) by 4.1 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. South Florida brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Blue Chip Analytics rates South Florida as the stronger team by 4.1 points on a neutral field; apply HFA and travel context before finalising a line read.
