Week 15 •
MetLife StadiumNeutral site

Navy @ Army , Week 15, Dec 12, 2026

1-3 American Power rating: -6.1
2-2 American Power rating: -1.6

Is there value in the Navy vs Army line?

Market line
NAVY -2.5
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
ARMY -4.0
Edge
+6.5ARMY
See details
◂ favors NAVYfavors ARMY ▸Market: NAVY -2.5
ARMY
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neutral
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NAVY
2 NAVY2 ARMY4 NAVY4 ARMY6 NAVY6 ARMYModel: ARMY -4.0

Betting information

Spread
NAVY -2.5
Total
37.5
Odds implied score
NAVY 20.0 – 17.5 ARMY

DraftKings · as of October 7, 2026

Army (power rating: -1.6) holds a 4.5-point advantage over Navy (-6.1) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. MetLife Stadium is a neutral site, so neither team carries a home-field advantage into this matchup. The market line is Navy -2.5 and our model shows Army -4.0; Major model-market disagreement - verify the inputs. Beyond home field, the model also charges the conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Navy vs Army at MetLife Stadium?

The latest reading for MetLife Stadium shows Clear, 58°F with winds of 19 mph. Wind of 19 mph is enough to matter to the total: the market has historically taken about 1.7 points off the number in this band. It is worth re-checking closer to kickoff. Gusts reaching 35 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What do prediction markets say about Navy vs Army?

Prediction market pricing is not yet available for this game. The bookmaker spread of Navy -2.5 sets the line for now. The Blue Chip model makes it Army -4.0; see the line value calculator below for the full breakdown.

How do Navy and Army compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Army (-1.6) over Navy (-6.1) by 4.5 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Neither team has a home-field advantage here, so the neutral-field differential above is already the venue-adjusted read.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Army -4.0, 6.5 points toward Army against the market.

Conditions

as of October 13, 2026 Preliminary

Clear

58°F

Rain5%
Precip0.00"
Humidity67%
Wind19 mph NW
Gusts35 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Navy at Army: aerial view of MetLife Stadium, wind from the NW at 18.6 mph, gusting to 35.2 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 15
Kickoff (local)
03:00 PM EST
Venue
MetLife Stadium
Capacity
82,500
Elevation
7 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure NavyAway ArmyHome
This week181 miles40 miles
Last weekBye weekBye week
Season total10,598 miles9,980 miles
Body clock15:0015:00
Rest14 days14 days

Navy travels 181 miles to this game, a short road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.