Week 15 • December 12, 2026, 08:00 PM UTC
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American
Power Rank: 1.6
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American
Power Rank: -3.4

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Navy (power rating: 1.6) carries a 5.0-point edge over Army (-3.4) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. See Line Value below.

General Information

Week: Week 15
Kick Off (at stadium): 03:00 PM EST
Stadium: MetLife Stadium
Capacity: 82,500
Elevation: 0 ft
HFA Rating: N/A
Playing Surface: Artificial Turf

Betting Information

Spread None
Total (O/U) -
Odds Implied Score -
Power Rank Implied Line Navy -5.0

Line Value Calculator

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Navy
Army
Home field — MetLife Stadium
Weather: Sunny
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

Does weather affect Navy vs Army at MetLife Stadium?

Game-time forecast at MetLife Stadium shows Sunny — 75.7°F, Feels Like 63.3°F with winds of 9.2 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. The weather adjustment has been pre-filled in the Line Value Calculator above — adjust manually if conditions change before kick-off.

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: July 05, 2026
Sunny

Sunny

75.7°F

Feels Like: 63.3°F
Wind: 9.2 mph SE
Gusts: 11.7 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 67%
Rain Chance: 6%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Navy (Away)

This Week: 180.6 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 10598.4 miles
Body Clock Time: 15:00
Rest Days: 14

Army (Home)

This Week: 40.0 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 9980.1 miles
Body Clock Time: 15:00
Rest Days: 14

What are the key factors for Navy vs Army?

Navy: Key Factors

New quarterback and offensive transition

Braxton Woodson takes over at quarterback after the departure of Blake Horvath, who accounted for a large share of last year's offense. Woodson has sprinter's speed and experience at multiple positions, but his passing consistency is unproven. The offense is in its third year under coordinator Drew Cronic, who expects more from the passing game, but the unit is relying on several unproven players, including running back Vic Listorti (hamstring history) and slotback Charles Robinson (emerged in spring).

Defensive strengths at linebacker and safety

Navy returns two highly productive inside linebackers, MarcAnthony Parker and Coleman Cauley, who combined for 176 tackles last season. Safety Giuseppe Sessi, the defensive signal-caller, was second on the team with 81 tackles. The secondary improved late last season after Phillip Hamilton moved to safety, and the corners (Nick Bell, Irabonoise Oniha) bring experience. However, the pass rush is a concern after losing first-team All-America nose guard Landon Robinson.

Home-field advantage and favorable weather

Navy plays at home with a venue home-field advantage of 2.4 points. The forecast is clear with 57°F and 11 mph wind, which should not significantly impact the game. The Midshipmen have no travel and are well-rested for the season opener.

Uncertainty at placekicker

Justin Welch enters as the top placekicker, but the position battle continued through training camp. Special teams could be a factor in a close game, and any missed opportunities could be costly.

Opponent scouting and preparation challenges

Towson is an FCS opponent with no prior season data available. Navy's unique option-style offense is difficult to prepare for, especially for a team that may not see it regularly. The Midshipmen's defensive multiplicity and retention of players due to the academy's structure give them an edge in scheme familiarity.

Army: Key Factors

Offensive Line Dominance vs. FCS Opponent

Army returns four starters on the offensive line, including center Brady Small who has started all 39 games since entering the academy. Against an FCS opponent like Bryant, this experienced unit should control the line of scrimmage, enabling Army's triple-option attack to wear down the defense and control the clock.

Quarterback Cale Hellums' Workload Management

Hellums led the nation with 304 carries last season, but the preseason outlook emphasized the need to share touches. This game against a lesser opponent is an ideal opportunity to limit his carries and get Godspower Nwawuihe more involved, preserving Hellums for the tougher schedule ahead.

Defensive Inexperience at Inside Linebacker

Army's defense features eight new starters, with the biggest question mark at inside linebacker where sophomores Bryson Banks and Elijah Walton are expected to start. Bryant may test this inexperienced duo early, but the home crowd and favorable weather should help them settle in.

Home Field Advantage and Weather Conditions

Army enjoys a strong home-field advantage (HFA 2.4) and will play in foggy 52°F conditions with minimal wind. The cool, calm weather favors Army's ground-based offense and should limit passing effectiveness for Bryant, giving the Black Knights a clear situational edge.

Special Teams as a Weapon

Kicker Dawson Jones made his last five field goals last season, including a walk-off winner, and punter James Wagenseller averaged 43.1 yards. In a game where Army's offense may stall at times, field position and reliable kicking could be decisive against an FCS opponent.

What do the matchup numbers say?

Navy travels 181 miles to this game, a short road trip.

How do Navy and Army compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Navy (1.6) over Army (-3.4) by 5.0 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Army faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip Analytics rates Navy as the stronger team by 5.0 points on a neutral field; apply HFA and travel context before finalising a line read.