Boise State (power rating: 5.4) holds a 23.2-point edge over South Dakota (-17.8) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Boise State's home field adds 2.9 points to that edge at Albertsons Stadium. South Dakota travels 973 miles for this game, check the travel panel for rest and body clock context. See Line Value below.
Adjust any factor to update your projected line
Positive adjustment = favours home team
Game-time forecast at Albertsons Stadium shows Clear, 78.6°F, Feels Like 68.5°F with winds of 5.1 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. The weather adjustment has been pre-filled in the Line Value Calculator above, adjust manually if conditions change before kick-off.
78.6°F
South Dakota travels 973 miles to this game, a significant road trip.
South Dakota arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Boise State (5.4) over South Dakota (-17.8) by 23.2 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Boise State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Blue Chip Analytics rates Boise State as the stronger team by 23.2 points on a neutral field; apply HFA and travel context before finalising a line read.
