15 Final 10 26 Final 42 8 Final 34 7 Final 33 17 Final 28 17 Final 34 27 Final 37 27 Final 21
Week 3 •
Albertsons Stadium

South Dakota @ Boise State

0-0 MVFC Power rating: -17.8
0-0 Pac-12 Power rating: 5.2

By · Last updated

Is there value in the South Dakota vs Boise State line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
BOIS -26.2
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors SDAKfavors BOIS ▸
23.0 › BOIS
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
BOIS
no impact
BOIS
no impact
no impact
1 SDAK1 BOIS2 SDAK2 BOIS3 SDAK3 BOISModel: BOIS -26.2

Boise State (power rating: 5.2) holds a 23.0-point advantage over South Dakota (-17.8) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Boise State's home field adds 2.9 points to that advantage at Albertsons Stadium. Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from South Dakota's trip. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect South Dakota vs Boise State at Albertsons Stadium?

The latest reading for Albertsons Stadium shows Overcast, 69°F with winds of 4 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do South Dakota and Boise State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Boise State (5.2) over South Dakota (-17.8) by 23.0 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Boise State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on South Dakota and Boise State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Blue Chip makes this Boise State -26.2. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of September 5, 2026 Preliminary

Overcast

69°F

Rain9%
Precip0.00"
Humidity20%
Wind4 mph SSE
Gusts5 mph
Wind map for South Dakota at Boise State: aerial view of Albertsons Stadium, wind from the SSE at 4 mph, gusting to 4.7 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 3
Kickoff (local)
08:00 PM MDT
Venue
Albertsons Stadium
Capacity
36,387
Elevation
2,723 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

South DakotaAway Boise StateHome
This week973 miles0 miles
Last weekBye weekHome game
Season total973 miles690 miles
Body clock21:0020:00
Rest8 days8 days

South Dakota travels 973 miles to this game, a significant road trip. South Dakota arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Other games this week