Fresno State (power rating: -3.9) holds a 11.4-point advantage over Rice (-15.3) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Fresno State's home field adds 2.5 points to that advantage at Valley Children's Stadium. Beyond home field, the model charges Rice's westward trip, with a slighter reading for the warm conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.
The latest reading for Valley Children's Stadium shows Clear, 80°F with winds of 10 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Clear
80°F

| Measure | RiceAway | Fresno StateHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 1,487 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Home game | 243 miles |
| Season total | 3,432 miles | 664 miles |
| Body clock | 21:00 | 19:00 |
| Rest | 8 days | 7 days |
Rice travels 1,487 miles to this game, a significant road trip. That is a westward shift of 2 time zones, the one travel pattern Blue Chip has measured as carrying a consistent price: about 0.9 points, with the distance burden already inside it.