Ohio (power rating: -8.8) carries a 18.5-point advantage over Sacramento State (-27.3) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Sacramento State's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5) narrows that gap at Hornet Stadium. Beyond home field, the model also charges Ohio's westward trip. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.
The latest reading for Hornet Stadium shows Clear, 67°F with winds of 5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Prediction markets on Kalshi price Sacramento State as 50% favorites to beat Ohio (50%). That implies a market-derived spread of Ohio -0.1. The Blue Chip model makes it Ohio -15.1, a notable divergence from the Kalshi consensus. Use the line value calculator below to compare prediction market probabilities against your own line.
Clear
67°F
| Measure | OhioAway | Sacramento StateHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 2,102 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Home game | 4,000 miles |
| Season total | 5,300 miles | 8,287 miles |
| Body clock | 22:00 | 19:00 |
| Rest | 8 days | 8 days |
Ohio travels 2,102 miles to this game, a cross-country trip. That is a westward shift of 3 time zones, the one travel pattern Blue Chip has measured as carrying a consistent price: about 0.9 points, with the distance burden already inside it.
.png)
