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Week 5 •
Cajun Field

Marshall51 @FINAL 54Louisiana

2-2 Sun Belt Power rating: -8.5
1-3 Sun Belt Power rating: -10.8

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
MRSH -2.5
PM Implied
MRSH -1.3
Blue Chip model
UL -0.8
Edge
+3.3UL
See details
◂ favors MRSHfavors UL ▸Market: MRSH -2.5
MRSH
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
UL
no impact
UL
no impact
no impact
1 MRSH1 UL2 MRSH2 UL3 MRSH3 ULModel: UL -0.8

Betting information

Spread
MRSH -2.5
Total
47.5
Odds implied score
MRSH 25.0 – 22.5 UL
Prediction markets
MRSH 56% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Louisiana defeated Marshall 54–51 in a nail-biter. Louisiana covered by 5.5; Game went Over by 57.5. The market closed at Marshall -2.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Louisiana -0.8, an edge of 3.3 points toward Louisiana.

What were the weather conditions for Marshall vs Louisiana?

At kickoff, conditions at Cajun Field were Clear, 69°F with winds of 7 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Marshall travels 788 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Marshall arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Louisiana won by 3 in a nail-biter.

Louisiana covered the spread.

The total went Over by 57.5 points.

How do Marshall and Louisiana compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Marshall (-8.5) over Louisiana (-10.8) by 2.3 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Louisiana faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Louisiana brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Marshall and Louisiana?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Louisiana won and Louisiana covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 28, 2025 Game-time

Clear

69°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity70%
Wind7 mph NNE
Gusts15 mph
Wind map for Marshall at Louisiana: aerial view of Cajun Field, wind from the NNE at 7.2 mph, gusting to 15 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 5
Kickoff (local)
07:00 PM CDT
Venue
Cajun Field
Capacity
30,000
Elevation
62 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

MarshallAway LouisianaHome
This week788 miles2 miles
Last week562 miles1,903 miles
Season total1,976 miles3,104 miles
Body clock20:0019:00
Rest8 days8 days

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