Week 5September 27, 2025, 04:45 PM UTC
35
3-1
Pac-12
Power Rank: -5.4
@
FINAL
55
4-0
SEC
Power Rank: 17.3

By · Last updated

Vanderbilt defeated Utah State 55–35 to secure a comfortable win. Utah State covered by 3.5; Game went Over by 32.5.

General Information

Week: Week 5
Kick Off (at stadium): 11:45 AM CDT
Stadium: FirstBank Stadium
Capacity: 40,350
Elevation: 551 ft
HFA Rating: 2.0
Playing Surface: Artificial Turf

Betting Information

Spread Vanderbilt -23.5
Total (O/U) 57.5
Odds Implied Score USU 17.0 - 40.5 VAN
Power Rank Implied Line Vanderbilt -22.7
Prediction Markets Vanderbilt 92% Win Chance (Kalshi)
Utah State @ Vanderbilt Preview

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Utah State
Vanderbilt
Home field: FirstBank Stadium
Weather: Partly cloudy
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What were the weather conditions for Utah State vs Vanderbilt?

At kick-off, conditions at FirstBank Stadium were Partly cloudy, 77.7°F, Feels Like 79.7°F with winds of 6.7 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: September 27, 2025
Partly cloudy

Partly cloudy

77.7°F

Feels Like: 79.7°F
Wind: 6.7 mph NNW
Gusts: 8.1 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 54%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Utah State (Away)

This Week: 1395.7 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 3702.4 miles
Body Clock Time: 10:45
Rest Days: 6

Vanderbilt (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 1446.2 miles
Body Clock Time: 11:45
Rest Days: 7

What are the key factors for Utah State vs Vanderbilt?

Utah State: Key Factors

First-half competitiveness but second-half collapse

Utah State kept pace with Vanderbilt in the first half, leading twice and scoring three touchdowns, but was held to 15 total yards in the third quarter and allowed 55 points overall.

Bryson Barnes' performance and pressure issues

Quarterback Bryson Barnes threw for 161 yards and three touchdowns in the first half, but the offense stalled in the second half due to Vanderbilt's defense, which sacked him three times and forced seven hurries.

Defensive struggles against explosive offense

The Aggies allowed Vanderbilt quarterback Diego Pavia to throw five touchdown passes and run for another, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities that could be exploited by future opponents.

Next game: at Hawaii on Oct. 11

Utah State will travel to Hawaii for their next game, needing to address second-half consistency and defensive pressure to avoid a similar collapse.

What happened in the game?

Utah State travels 1,396 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

Utah State arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

Vanderbilt won by 20 to secure a comfortable win.

Utah State covered the spread.

The total went Over by 32.5 points.

How do Utah State and Vanderbilt compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Vanderbilt (17.3) over Utah State (-5.4) by 22.7 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Vanderbilt brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Vanderbilt won and Utah State covered the spread.