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Week 5 •
DATCU Stadium

South Alabama22 @FINAL 36North Texas

1-3 Sun Belt Power rating: -9.8
4-0 American Power rating: 6.2

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
UNT -13.5
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
UNT -19.3
Edge
+5.8UNT
See details
◂ favors USAfavors UNT ▸Market: UNT -13.5
16.0 › UNT
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
UNT
no impact
no impact
no impact
UNT
2 USA2 UNT4 USA4 UNT6 USA6 UNTModel: UNT -19.3

Betting information

Spread
UNT -13.5
Total
63.5
Odds implied score
USA 25.0 – 38.5 UNT

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

North Texas defeated South Alabama 36–22 in a double-digit victory. North Texas covered by 0.5; Game went Under by 5.5. The market closed at North Texas -13.5 and the Blue Chip model made it North Texas -19.3 - a gap of 5.8 points toward North Texas, of which 4.5 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for South Alabama vs North Texas?

At kickoff, conditions at DATCU Stadium were Sunny, 88°F, heat index 89°F with winds of 6 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

South Alabama travels 554 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

North Texas won by 14 in a double-digit victory.

North Texas covered the spread narrowly.

The total went Under by 5.5 points.

How do South Alabama and North Texas compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor North Texas (6.2) over South Alabama (-9.8) by 16.0 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. North Texas brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on South Alabama and North Texas?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

North Texas won and North Texas covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 27, 2025 Game-time

Sunny

88°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity37%
Wind6 mph E
Gusts7 mph
Heat index89°F
Wind map for South Alabama at North Texas: aerial view of DATCU Stadium, wind from the E at 5.8 mph, gusting to 6.7 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 5
Kickoff (local)
11:00 AM CDT
Venue
DATCU Stadium
Capacity
30,100
Elevation
676 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

South AlabamaAway North TexasHome
This week554 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game2,783 miles
Season total967 miles4,560 miles
Body clock11:0011:00
Rest7 days7 days

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