DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026
Navy defeated Rice 21–13 in a one-score game. Rice covered by 6.0; Game went Under by 11.5. The market closed at Navy -14.0 and the Blue Chip model made it Navy -19.8 - a gap of 5.8 points toward Navy, of which 4.3 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.
Rice managed only 234 total yards, with 115 of those coming on two scoring drives in the fourth quarter. The offense struggled to sustain drives, which limited scoring opportunities.
Despite the overall offensive struggles, Rice showed resilience by scoring 13 points in the fourth quarter, including a 3-yard touchdown pass from Chase Jenkins to Drayden Dickmann and a 44-yard field goal by Enoch Gota.
Rice's defense intercepted Navy quarterback Blake Horvath late in the third quarter, which led to a field goal. This turnover was a key moment that kept Rice in the game.
Navy rushed for 283 yards, with Horvath and Alex Tecza each surpassing 100 yards. Rice's defense struggled to contain the option attack, allowing big gains on the ground.
Rice fell to 3-2 overall and 1-1 in the American Athletic Conference. The loss snapped a two-game winning streak and highlighted areas needing improvement for upcoming conference games.
Navy rushed for 283 yards, led by Blake Horvath (110 yards, 2 TDs) and Alex Tecza (104 yards), controlling the game on the ground.
Navy's defense held Rice to 234 total yards, with MarcAnthony Parker recording 13 tackles, and allowed only 13 points despite two fourth-quarter scoring drives.
Horvath completed 8 of 13 passes for 172 yards, providing balance to the offense despite one interception.
Navy has won seven straight games and started 4-0 in back-to-back seasons for the first time since 1978-79, showing strong momentum.
Horvath's interception late in the third quarter led to a Rice field goal, highlighting a need to protect the ball in future games.
At kickoff, conditions at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium were Overcast, 75°F with winds of 11 mph. Gusts reaching 21 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Overcast
75°F
| Measure | RiceAway | NavyHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 1,252 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | 1,876 miles | Bye week |
| Season total | 3,537 miles | 2,165 miles |
| Body clock | 14:30 | 15:30 |
| Rest | 9 days | 13 days |
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