Week 5 • September 27, 2025, 07:30 PM UTC
4-0
Big Ten
Power Rank: 28.9
20 FINAL 15
3-1
Big Ten
Power Rank: 17.9
Iowa covered by 2.5 | Game went Under by 13.5

Indiana defeated Iowa 20–15 in a closely contested finish.

Indiana @ Iowa Preview

General Information

Week: Week 5
Kick Off (at stadium): 02:30 PM CDT
Stadium: Kinnick Stadium
Capacity: 69,250
Elevation: 722 ft
HFA Rating: 2.7
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Indiana -7.5
Total (O/U) 48.5
Expected Score IU 28.0 - 20.5 IOWA
Power Rank Implied Line Indiana +11.0
Prediction Markets Indiana 76% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

20.4°F

Wind Chill: 9.0°F
Wind: 10.3 mph NNW
Gusts: 16.6 mph
Precipitation: 0.01"
Humidity: 83%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Indiana (Away)

This Week: 315.3 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 315.3 miles
Body Clock Time: 15:30
Rest Days: 7

Iowa (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 1788.2 miles
Season Total: 2558.1 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:30
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Indiana -7.5
Total Points 48.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Indiana 28.9
Iowa 17.9
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 315 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
HFA: Kinnick Stadium
Capacity 69,250
Elevation 722 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 20.4°F
Wind Speed 10.3 mph
Your Line Iowa -11.0
Implied Value

What are the key factors for Indiana vs Iowa?

Indiana: Key Factors

Iowa: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Indiana travels 315 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Indiana arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

Indiana won by 5 in a closely contested finish.

Iowa covered the spread, covering narrowly.

The total went Under by 13.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Kinnick Stadium?

At 20.4°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Precipitation chance is 80%, pointing to a wet-field game. High precip probability increases fumble risk and typically compresses both team totals.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Indiana and Iowa compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Indiana (28.9) over Iowa (17.9) by 11.0 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Iowa faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Iowa brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.7). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Indiana won and Iowa covered the spread.