14 Final 28 9 Final 20 7 Final 42 14 Final 51 7 Final 38 31 Final 35 45 Final 19 9 Final 56 24 Final 34 0 Final 34 20 Final 27 13 Final 16 14 Final 62 48 Final 45 0 Final 66 17 Final 45 3 Final 77 22 Final 44 10 Final 42 7 Final 55 22 Final 32 31 Final 42 0 Final 70 36 Final 27 12 Final 59 43 Final 36 13 Final 20 6 Final 45 24 Final 38 16 Final 27 30 Final 23 7 Final 31 20 Final 34 17 Final 72 27 Final 26 6 Final 28 33 Final 30 3 Final 69 17 Final 45 7 Final 31 10 Final 17 10 Final 42 18 Final 16 20 Final 38 17 Final 20 14 Final 56 21 Final 20 6 Final 54 3 Final 56 14 Final 56 9 Final 63 3 Final 35 33 Final 31 24 Final 21 21 Final 45 17 Final 21 38 Final 16 20 Final 3 7 Final 68 10 Final 38 3 Final 45 35 Final 9 28 Final 23 40 Final 42 20 Final 59 13 Final 24 0 Final 68 44 Final 20 0 Final 13 17 Final 34 7 Final 23 20 Final 24 3 Final 42 0 Final 73 23 Final 30 10 Final 34 14 Final 21 17 Final 42 3 Final 48 13 Final 36 3 Final 27 10 Final 70 20 Final 37
Week 5 • September 27, 2025, 08:00 PM UTC
Hawai'i @ Air Force
3-2
MW
Power Rank: -7.4
44 FINAL 35
1-2
MW
Power Rank: -7.8
Hawai'i covered by 14.5 | Game went Over by 25.5

By · Last updated

Hawai'i defeated Air Force 44–35 in a one-score game. Hawai'i covered the spread; the game went Over.

Hawai'i @ Air Force Preview

General Information

Week: Week 5
Kick Off (at stadium): 02:00 PM MDT
Stadium: Falcon Stadium
Capacity: 39,441
Elevation: 6657 ft
HFA Rating: 2.6
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Air Force -5.5
Total (O/U) 53.5
Expected Score HAW 24.0 - 29.5 AF
Power Rank Implied Line Hawai'i +0.4
Prediction Markets Air Force 70% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

35.0°F

Wind Chill: 29.1°F
Wind: 7.2 mph S
Gusts: 15.0 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 41%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Hawai'i (Away)

This Week: 3344.8 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 9281.7 miles
Body Clock Time: 10:00
Rest Days: 7

Air Force (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 1046.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:00
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust any factor to update your projected line

Your line Air Force -0.4
Implied value —
Betting
Current line Air Force -5.5
Total (O/U) 53.5
Power ratings — adjust if you disagree
Hawai'i -7.4
Air Force -7.8
Travel impact
Away travel 3345 mi
Home travel 0 mi
Rest Even
Home field — Falcon Stadium
Capacity 39,441
Elevation 6657 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 35.0°F
Wind speed 7.2 mph

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What are the key factors for Hawai'i vs Air Force?

Hawai'i: Key Factors

Air Force: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Hawai'i travels 3,345 miles to this game, a cross-country trip.

Hawai'i arrives with a 4-hour body clock disadvantage.

Hawai'i won by 9 in a one-score game.

Hawai'i covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 25.5 points.

How do Hawai'i and Air Force compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings rate Hawai'i (-7.4) and Air Force (-7.8) as essentially equal on a neutral field. In this range, HFA, travel, rest, and weather context carry more weight than the raw rating differential. Air Force brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.6). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Hawai'i and Air Force?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

Hawai'i won and Hawai'i covered the spread.