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Week 5 •
Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium

Georgia Tech30 @FINAL 29Wake Forest

4-0 ACC Power rating: 11.1
2-1 ACC Power rating: -1.0

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
GT -13.5
PM Implied
GT -10.4
Blue Chip model
GT -8.9
Edge
+4.6WAKE
See details
◂ favors GTfavors WAKE ▸Market: GT -13.5
‹ 12.1 GT
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
WAKE
WAKE
no impact
no impact
no impact
2 GT2 WAKE4 GT4 WAKEModel: GT -8.9

Betting information

Spread
GT -13.5
Total
53.5
Odds implied score
GT 33.5 – 20.0 WAKE
Prediction markets
GT 84% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Georgia Tech defeated Wake Forest 30–29 in a nail-biter. Wake Forest covered by 12.5; Game went Over by 5.5. The market closed at Georgia Tech -13.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Georgia Tech -8.9 - a gap of 4.6 points toward Wake Forest, of which 3.6 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for Georgia Tech vs Wake Forest?

At kickoff, conditions at Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium were Moderate or heavy rain shower, 76°F with winds of 4 mph. A 100% chance of rain with around 0.13 inches expected points to a genuinely wet field. Ball security and the kicking game are the exposures. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Georgia Tech travels 286 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Georgia Tech won by 1 in a nail-biter.

Wake Forest covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 5.5 points.

How do Georgia Tech and Wake Forest compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Georgia Tech (11.1) over Wake Forest (-1.0) by 12.1 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Wake Forest faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Wake Forest brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Georgia Tech and Wake Forest?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Georgia Tech won and Wake Forest covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 27, 2025 Game-time

Moderate or heavy rain shower

76°F

Rain100%
Precip0.13"
Humidity80%
Wind4 mph WSW
Gusts5 mph
Wind map for Georgia Tech at Wake Forest: aerial view of Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium, wind from the WSW at 3.6 mph, gusting to 4.5 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 5
Kickoff (local)
12:00 PM EDT
Venue
Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
Capacity
31,500
Elevation
958 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Georgia TechAway Wake ForestHome
This week286 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameBye week
Season total2,745 miles0 miles
Body clock12:0012:00
Rest7 days16 days

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