Week 5 • September 25, 2025, 11:30 PM UTC
1-2
American
Power Rank: -3.5
6 FINAL 28
2-2
American
Power Rank: 4.1
East Carolina covered by 17.5 | Game went Under by 18.5

East Carolina defeated Army 28–6 to secure a comfortable win.

Army @ East Carolina Preview

General Information

Week: Week 5
Kick Off (at stadium): 07:30 PM EDT
Stadium: Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Capacity: 51,000
Elevation: 62 ft
HFA Rating: 3.0
Playing Surface: Hybrid

Betting Information

Spread East Carolina -4.5
Total (O/U) 52.5
Expected Score ARMY 24.0 - 28.5 ECU
Power Rank Implied Line East Carolina +7.6
Prediction Markets East Carolina 64% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Mist

Mist

23.3°F

Wind Chill: 14.6°F
Wind: 7.6 mph SW
Gusts: 15.4 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 94%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Army (Away)

This Week: 439.8 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 2843.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:30
Rest Days: 5

East Carolina (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 1777.9 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:30
Rest Days: 5

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line East Carolina -4.5
Total Points 52.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Army -3.5
East Carolina 4.1
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 440 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
HFA: Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Capacity 51,000
Elevation 62 ft
Weather: Mist
Temperature 23.3°F
Wind Speed 7.6 mph
Your Line East Carolina +7.6
Implied Value

What are the key factors for Army vs East Carolina?

Army: Key Factors

East Carolina: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Army travels 440 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

East Carolina won by 22 to secure a comfortable win.

East Carolina covered the spread, covering the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 18.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium?

At 23.3°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Army and East Carolina compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour East Carolina (4.1) over Army (-3.5) by 7.6 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. East Carolina brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

East Carolina won and East Carolina covered the spread.