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Week 14 •
Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex

Wyoming7 @FINAL 27Hawai'i

4-7 MW Power rating: -4.6
7-4 MW Power rating: -6.1

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
HAW -8.5
PM Implied
HAW -6.5
Blue Chip model
HAW -3.2
Edge
-5.3WYO
See details
◂ favors WYOfavors HAW ▸Market: HAW -8.5
WYO
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
HAW
no impact
HAW
no impact
no impact
2 WYO2 HAW4 WYO4 HAW6 WYO6 HAWModel: HAW -3.2

Betting information

Spread
HAW -8.5
Total
44.5
Odds implied score
WYO 18.0 – 26.5 HAW
Prediction markets
HAW 74% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Hawai'i defeated Wyoming 27–7 to secure a comfortable win. Hawai'i covered by 11.5; Game went Under by 10.5. The market closed at Hawai'i -8.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Hawai'i -3.2 - a gap of 5.3 points toward Wyoming, of which 4.0 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What are the key factors for Wyoming vs Hawai'i?

Hawai'i

Offensive Balance and Explosive Plays

Hawaii's offense showed balance with QB Micah Alejado throwing for 289 yards and 2 TDs, including a 78-yard bomb to Jackson Harris, while RB Cam Barfield added 77 rushing yards and a 41-yard TD. This dual-threat capability will be key for future games.

Kicking Game Reliability and a Rare Miss

Kicker Kansei Matsuzawa tied FBS and MWC records with 26 consecutive field goals made, but missed a 30-yard attempt late in the third quarter. While historically reliable, the miss could be a mental hurdle for next week.

Defensive Resilience After Early Setback

After allowing a pick-six on the opening drive, Hawaii's defense shut out Wyoming for the remainder of the game. This ability to adjust and dominate defensively bodes well for upcoming matchups.

Strong Home Performance and Momentum

Hawaii finished the regular season 8-4 (5-3 MWC) with a convincing home win. The team's momentum and confidence, especially on offense, should carry into their next game.

What were the weather conditions for Wyoming vs Hawai'i?

At kickoff, conditions at Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex were Clear, 69°F with winds of 5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Wyoming travels 3,325 miles to this game, a cross-country trip.

That is a westward shift of 3 time zones, the one travel pattern Blue Chip has measured as carrying a consistent price: about 0.9 points, with the distance burden already inside it.

Hawai'i won by 20 to secure a comfortable win.

Hawai'i covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 10.5 points.

How do Wyoming and Hawai'i compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Wyoming (-4.6) over Hawai'i (-6.1) by 1.5 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Hawai'i faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Hawai'i brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Wyoming and Hawai'i?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Hawai'i won and Hawai'i covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 30, 2025 Game-time

Clear

69°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity77%
Wind5 mph ENE
Gusts8 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Wyoming at Hawai'i: aerial view of Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex, wind from the ENE at 4.7 mph, gusting to 8.1 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 14
Kickoff (local)
06:00 PM HST
Venue
Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
Capacity
16,909
Elevation
75 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

WyomingAway Hawai'iHome
This week3,325 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game5,512 miles
Season total9,715 miles29,653 miles
Body clock21:0018:00
Rest8 days8 days

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