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Week 14 •
Mackay Stadium

UNLV42 @FINAL 17Nevada

9-2 MW Power rating: -1.3
3-8 MW Power rating: -14.0

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
UNLV -7.5
PM Implied
UNLV -6.2
Blue Chip model
UNLV -9.7
Edge
-2.2UNLV
See details
◂ favors UNLVfavors NEV ▸Market: UNLV -7.5
‹ 12.7 UNLV
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
NEV
no impact
no impact
NEV
NEV
1 UNLV1 NEV2 UNLV2 NEVModel: UNLV -9.7

Betting information

Spread
UNLV -7.5
Total
52.5
Odds implied score
UNLV 30.0 – 22.5 NEV
Prediction markets
UNLV 73% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

UNLV defeated Nevada 42–17 to secure a comfortable win. UNLV covered by 17.5; Game went Over by 6.5. The market closed at UNLV -7.5 and the Blue Chip model made it UNLV -9.7, an edge of 2.2 points toward UNLV.

What were the weather conditions for UNLV vs Nevada?

At kickoff, conditions at Mackay Stadium were Cloudy, 32°F, wind chill 25°F with winds of 7 mph. At 32°F this is a freezing game. Cold is a scoring-environment factor rather than a side factor: Blue Chip has not measured a reliable spread effect from temperature. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

UNLV travels 348 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

UNLV won by 25 to secure a comfortable win.

UNLV covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 6.5 points.

How do UNLV and Nevada compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor UNLV (-1.3) over Nevada (-14.0) by 12.7 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Nevada faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Nevada brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on UNLV and Nevada?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

UNLV won and UNLV covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 30, 2025 Game-time

Cloudy

32°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity43%
Wind7 mph WSW
Gusts15 mph
Wind chill25°F
Snow chance0%
Wind map for UNLV at Nevada: aerial view of Mackay Stadium, wind from the WSW at 6.9 mph, gusting to 14.5 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 14
Kickoff (local)
06:00 PM PST
Venue
Mackay Stadium
Capacity
30,000
Elevation
4,619 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

UNLVAway NevadaHome
This week348 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game1,520 miles
Season total9,720 miles12,395 miles
Body clock18:0018:00
Rest8 days8 days

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