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Week 14 •
AmFirst Stadium

Western Kentucky34 @FINAL 37Jacksonville State

8-3 CUSA Power rating: -9.3
7-4 CUSA Power rating: -5.6

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
WKU -1.5
PM Implied
WKU -1.0
Blue Chip model
JXST -6.2
Edge
+7.7JXST
See details
◂ favors WKUfavors JXST ▸Market: WKU -1.5
JXST
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
JXST
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
5 WKU5 JXSTModel: JXST -6.2

Betting information

Spread
WKU -1.5
Total
56.5
Odds implied score
WKU 29.0 – 27.5 JXST
Prediction markets
WKU 55% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Jacksonville State defeated Western Kentucky 37–34 in a nail-biter. Jacksonville State covered by 4.5; Game went Over by 14.5. The market closed at Western Kentucky -1.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Jacksonville State -6.2 - a gap of 7.7 points toward Jacksonville State, of which 7.0 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for Western Kentucky vs Jacksonville State?

At kickoff, conditions at AmFirst Stadium were Overcast, 47°F, wind chill 43°F with winds of 9 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Western Kentucky travels 222 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Jacksonville State won by 3 in a nail-biter.

Jacksonville State covered the spread.

The total went Over by 14.5 points.

How do Western Kentucky and Jacksonville State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Jacksonville State (-5.6) over Western Kentucky (-9.3) by 3.7 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Jacksonville State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Western Kentucky and Jacksonville State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Jacksonville State won and Jacksonville State covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 29, 2025 Game-time

Overcast

47°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity39%
Wind9 mph SSE
Gusts16 mph
Wind chill43°F
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State: aerial view of AmFirst Stadium, wind from the SSE at 8.5 mph, gusting to 16.1 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 14
Kickoff (local)
01:00 PM CST
Venue
AmFirst Stadium
Capacity
22,500
Elevation
640 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Western KentuckyAway Jacksonville StateHome
This week222 miles0 miles
Last week1,057 miles1,286 miles
Season total4,900 miles7,199 miles
Body clock13:0013:00
Rest6 days7 days

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