@ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @
Week 14 •
Bobcat Stadium (TX)

South Alabama26 @FINAL 49Texas State

4-7 Sun Belt Power rating: -7.6
5-6 Sun Belt Power rating: -2.3

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
TXST -9.5
PM Implied
TXST -6.9
Blue Chip model
TXST -8.2
Edge
-1.3USA
See details
◂ favors USAfavors TXST ▸Market: TXST -9.5
5.3 › TXST
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
TXST
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
1 USA1 TXST2 USA2 TXST3 USA3 TXSTModel: TXST -8.2

Betting information

Spread
TXST -9.5
Total
62.5
Odds implied score
USA 26.5 – 36.0 TXST
Prediction markets
TXST 75% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Texas State defeated South Alabama 49–26 to secure a comfortable win. Texas State covered by 13.5; Game went Over by 12.5. The market closed at Texas State -9.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Texas State -8.2, an edge of 1.3 points toward South Alabama.

What were the weather conditions for South Alabama vs Texas State?

At kickoff, conditions at Bobcat Stadium (TX) were Partly cloudy, 70°F with winds of 6 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

South Alabama travels 584 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Texas State won by 23 to secure a comfortable win.

Texas State covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 12.5 points.

How do South Alabama and Texas State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Texas State (-2.3) over South Alabama (-7.6) by 5.3 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Texas State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on South Alabama and Texas State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Texas State won and Texas State covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 29, 2025 Game-time

Partly cloudy

70°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity82%
Wind6 mph WNW
Gusts11 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for South Alabama at Texas State: aerial view of Bobcat Stadium (TX), wind from the WNW at 5.8 mph, gusting to 11 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 14
Kickoff (local)
02:00 PM CST
Venue
Bobcat Stadium (TX)
Capacity
27,149
Elevation
600 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

South AlabamaAway Texas StateHome
This week584 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total3,544 miles6,865 miles
Body clock14:0014:00
Rest7 days7 days

Other games this week