14 Final 28 9 Final 20 7 Final 42 14 Final 51 7 Final 38 31 Final 35 45 Final 19 9 Final 56 24 Final 34 0 Final 34 20 Final 27 13 Final 16 14 Final 62 48 Final 45 0 Final 66 17 Final 45 3 Final 77 22 Final 44 10 Final 42 7 Final 55 22 Final 32 31 Final 42 0 Final 70 36 Final 27 12 Final 59 43 Final 36 13 Final 20 6 Final 45 24 Final 38 16 Final 27 30 Final 23 7 Final 31 20 Final 34 17 Final 72 27 Final 26 6 Final 28 33 Final 30 3 Final 69 17 Final 45 7 Final 31 10 Final 17 10 Final 42 18 Final 16 20 Final 38 17 Final 20 14 Final 56 21 Final 20 6 Final 54 3 Final 56 14 Final 56 9 Final 63 3 Final 35 33 Final 31 24 Final 21 21 Final 45 17 Final 21 38 Final 16 20 Final 3 7 Final 68 10 Final 38 3 Final 45 35 Final 9 28 Final 23 40 Final 42 20 Final 59 13 Final 24 0 Final 68 44 Final 20 0 Final 13 17 Final 34 7 Final 23 20 Final 24 3 Final 42 0 Final 73 23 Final 30 10 Final 34 14 Final 21 17 Final 42 3 Final 48 13 Final 36 3 Final 27 10 Final 70 20 Final 37
Week 14 • November 29, 2025, 08:00 PM UTC
South Alabama @ Texas State
4-7
Sun Belt
Power Rank: -7.6
26 FINAL 49
5-6
Sun Belt
Power Rank: -2.3
Texas State covered by 13.5 | Game went Over by 12.5

By · Last updated

Texas State defeated South Alabama 49–26 to secure a comfortable win.

South Alabama @ Texas State Preview

General Information

Week: Week 14
Kick Off (at stadium): 02:00 PM CST
Stadium: Bobcat Stadium (TX)
Capacity: 27,149
Elevation: 600 ft
HFA Rating: 2.9
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Texas State -9.5
Total (O/U) 62.5
Expected Score USA 26.5 - 36.0 TXST
Power Rank Implied Line Texas State +5.3
Prediction Markets Texas State 75% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Partly Cloudy

Partly Cloudy

48.3°F

Wind Chill: 44.8°F
Wind: 8.1 mph SW
Gusts: 13.9 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 69%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

South Alabama (Away)

This Week: 584.3 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 4712.9 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:00
Rest Days: 7

Texas State (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 6865.3 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:00
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Texas State -9.5
Total Points 62.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
South Alabama -7.6
Texas State -2.3
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 584 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
HFA: Bobcat Stadium (TX)
Capacity 27,149
Elevation 600 ft
Weather: Partly Cloudy
Temperature 48.3°F
Wind Speed 8.1 mph
Your Line Texas State +5.3
Implied Value —

What are the key factors for South Alabama vs Texas State?

South Alabama: Key Factors

Texas State: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

South Alabama travels 584 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Texas State won by 23 to secure a comfortable win.

Texas State covered the spread, covering by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 12.5 points.

How do South Alabama and Texas State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Texas State (-2.3) over South Alabama (-7.6) by 5.3 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Texas State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on South Alabama and Texas State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

Texas State won and Texas State covered the spread.