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Week 14 •
S.B. Ballard Stadium

Georgia State10 @FINAL 27Old Dominion

1-10 Sun Belt Power rating: -13.7
8-3 Sun Belt Power rating: 5.0

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
ODU -28.5
PM Implied
ODU -19.3
Blue Chip model
ODU -20.7
Edge
-7.8GAST
See details
◂ favors GASTfavors ODU ▸Market: ODU -28.5
18.7 › ODU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
ODU
no impact
no impact
no impact
GAST
5 GAST5 ODUModel: ODU -20.7

Betting information

Spread
ODU -28.5
Total
58.5
Odds implied score
GAST 15.0 – 43.5 ODU
Prediction markets
ODU 97% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Old Dominion defeated Georgia State 27–10 to secure a comfortable win. Georgia State covered by 11.5; Game went Under by 21.5. The market closed at Old Dominion -28.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Old Dominion -20.7 - a gap of 7.8 points toward Georgia State, of which 6.8 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for Georgia State vs Old Dominion?

At kickoff, conditions at S.B. Ballard Stadium were Partly cloudy, 40°F, wind chill 37°F with winds of 4 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Georgia State travels 506 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Old Dominion won by 17 to secure a comfortable win.

Georgia State covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 21.5 points.

How do Georgia State and Old Dominion compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Old Dominion (5.0) over Georgia State (-13.7) by 18.7 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Old Dominion brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.3). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Georgia State and Old Dominion?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Old Dominion won and Georgia State covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 29, 2025 Game-time

Partly cloudy

40°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity67%
Wind4 mph E
Gusts7 mph
Wind chill37°F
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Georgia State at Old Dominion: aerial view of S.B. Ballard Stadium, wind from the E at 4 mph, gusting to 6.5 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 14
Kickoff (local)
02:00 PM EST
Venue
S.B. Ballard Stadium
Capacity
21,944
Elevation
13 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Georgia StateAway Old DominionHome
This week506 miles0 miles
Last week323 miles877 miles
Season total2,828 miles5,438 miles
Body clock14:0014:00
Rest7 days7 days

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