Week 11 •
Kroger Field

Florida @ Kentucky , Week 11, Nov 14, 2026

4-1 SEC Power rating: 14.4
4-1 SEC Power rating: 10.4

Is there value in the Florida vs Kentucky line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
FLA -1.1
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors FLAfavors UK ▸
‹ 4.0 FLA
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1 FLA1 UK2 FLA2 UK3 FLA3 UKModel: FLA -1.1

Florida (power rating: 14.4) carries a 4.0-point advantage over Kentucky (10.4) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Kentucky's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 2.7) narrows that gap at Kroger Field. Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from the conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Florida vs Kentucky at Kroger Field?

The latest reading for Kroger Field shows Overcast, 62°F with winds of 13 mph. Gusts reaching 23 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Florida and Kentucky compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Florida (14.4) over Kentucky (10.4) by 4.0 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Kentucky faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Kentucky brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.7). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Florida -1.1. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of October 13, 2026 Preliminary

Overcast

62°F

Rain21%
Precip0.00"
Humidity76%
Wind13 mph NNE
Gusts23 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Florida at Kentucky: aerial view of Kroger Field, wind from the NNE at 13 mph, gusting to 23.1 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 11
Kickoff (local)
12:00 AM EST
Venue
Kroger Field
Capacity
61,000
Elevation
1,004 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure FloridaAway KentuckyHome
This week590 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game292 miles
Season total5,316 miles4,156 miles
Body clock00:0000:00
Rest7 days7 days

Florida travels 590 miles to this game, a moderate road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.