Week 7
DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium

Florida @ Texas , Week 7, Oct 17, 2026

0-0 SEC Power rating: 11.5
0-0 SEC Power rating: 22.2

Is there value in the Florida vs Texas line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
TEX -14.7
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors FLAfavors TEX ▸
10.7 › TEX
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2 FLA2 TEX4 FLA4 TEXModel: TEX -14.7

Texas (power rating: 22.2) holds a 10.7-point advantage over Florida (11.5) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Texas's home field adds 3.4 points to that advantage at DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium. Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from Florida's trip and the warm conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Florida vs Texas at DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium?

The latest reading for DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium shows Clear, 84°F, heat index 87°F with winds of 12 mph. Gusts reaching 24 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Florida and Texas compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Texas (22.2) over Florida (11.5) by 10.7 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Texas brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Texas -14.7. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of August 29, 2026 Preliminary

Clear

84°F

Rain3%
Precip0.00"
Humidity59%
Wind12 mph SSE
Gusts24 mph
Heat index87°F
Wind map for Florida at Texas: aerial view of DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium, wind from the SSE at 12.1 mph, gusting to 23.5 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 7
Kickoff (local)
11:00 PM CDT
Venue
DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
Capacity
100,119
Elevation
574 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure FloridaAway TexasHome
This week923 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game363 miles
Season total3,188 miles2,142 miles
Body clock00:0023:00
Rest7 days7 days

Florida travels 923 miles to this game, a significant road trip. Florida arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.