Fresno State defeated Nevada 20–17 in a nail-biter. Nevada covered by 9.5; Game went Under by 8.5.
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Positive adjustment = favours home team
At kick-off, conditions at Valley Children's Stadium were Clear, 61.5°F, Feels Like 61.7°F with winds of 1.1 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
61.5°F
Nevada travels 189 miles to this game, a short road trip.
Fresno State won by 3 in a nail-biter.
Nevada covered the spread by a solid margin.
The total went Under by 8.5 points.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Fresno State (-4.3) over Nevada (-16.2) by 11.9 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Fresno State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.6). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Fresno State won and Nevada covered the spread.
