Week 6October 04, 2025, 07:30 PM UTC
18
3-2
ACC
Power Rank: -3.0
@
FINAL
31
2-2
ACC
Power Rank: 9.8

By · Last updated

SMU defeated Syracuse 31–18 in a double-digit victory. Syracuse covered by 4.5; Game went Under by 7.5.

General Information

Week: Week 6
Kick Off (at stadium): 02:30 PM CDT
Stadium: Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Capacity: 32,000
Elevation: 594 ft
HFA Rating: 3.2
Playing Surface: Artificial Turf

Betting Information

Spread SMU -17.5
Total (O/U) 56.5
Odds Implied Score SYR 19.5 - 37.0 SMU
Power Rank Implied Line SMU -12.8
Prediction Markets SMU 88% Win Chance (Kalshi)
Syracuse @ SMU Preview

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Syracuse
SMU
Home field: Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Weather: Sunny
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What were the weather conditions for Syracuse vs SMU?

At kick-off, conditions at Gerald J. Ford Stadium were Sunny, 84.2°F, Heat Index 84.7°F with winds of 5.4 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: October 04, 2025
Sunny

Sunny

84.2°F

Heat Index: 84.7°F
Wind: 5.4 mph SE
Gusts: 8.5 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 42%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Syracuse (Away)

This Week: 1323.6 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 4245.3 miles
Body Clock Time: 15:30
Rest Days: 7

SMU (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 790.8 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:30
Rest Days: 14

What are the key factors for Syracuse vs SMU?

Syracuse: Key Factors

Quarterback Struggles Continue

Rickie Collins, making his second start since Steve Angeli's season-ending injury, completed 22 of 45 passes for 279 yards with one touchdown and three interceptions, all inside SMU's 20-yard line, highlighting ongoing issues at quarterback.

Red Zone Inefficiency

Syracuse failed to capitalize on early opportunities, including a first drive that reached SMU's 1-yard line but ended with no points, and three interceptions inside the red zone, which prevented them from keeping the game close.

Defensive Bright Spots

Despite the loss, Syracuse's defense forced a safety and held SMU to a field goal after a turnover, showing resilience, but they couldn't overcome the offensive turnovers and the 31-3 deficit.

Losing Streak and Upcoming Bye

The Orange have dropped two straight games for the first time under coach Fran Brown, and they have a bye week before hosting Pittsburgh on Oct. 18, giving them time to regroup and address offensive issues.

SMU: Key Factors

Quarterback Kevin Jennings' Career Day

Jennings threw for 285 yards and a career-high four touchdowns, completing 82.9% of his passes (29 of 35) with one interception. His performance was a key factor in SMU's 31-18 win, and he showed confidence and accuracy, which bodes well for future games.

Dominant First Half and Early Fourth Quarter

SMU built a commanding 31-3 lead early in the fourth quarter, thanks to Jennings' four touchdown passes and a field goal. This early dominance allowed the Mustangs to control the game and put pressure on Syracuse, which struggled to recover.

Strong Defensive Performance in Red Zone

SMU's defense intercepted Syracuse quarterback Rickie Collins three times, all inside the SMU 20-yard line, preventing potential scores. This red-zone efficiency was crucial in limiting Syracuse to just 18 points and securing the win.

Conference Winning Streak Continues

With this win, SMU extended its regular-season conference winning streak to 18 games, including nine in the ACC. This streak demonstrates the team's consistency and ability to perform in conference play, which is important for their upcoming game against Stanford.

Upcoming Home Game Against Stanford

SMU will host Stanford next Saturday. Given their strong offensive and defensive performances against Syracuse, the Mustangs will look to maintain their momentum and continue their conference winning streak against a Stanford team that has struggled this season.

What happened in the game?

Syracuse travels 1,324 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

Syracuse arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

SMU won by 13 in a double-digit victory.

Syracuse covered the spread.

The total went Under by 7.5 points.

How do Syracuse and SMU compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour SMU (9.8) over Syracuse (-3.0) by 12.8 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. SMU brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

SMU won and Syracuse covered the spread.