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Week 6 • October 04, 2025, 04:00 PM UTC
Ohio @ Ball State
3-2
MAC
Power Rank: 0.1
14 FINAL 20
1-3
MAC
Power Rank: -20.3
Ball State covered by 20.5 | Game went Under by 17.5

By · Last updated

Ball State defeated Ohio 20–14 in a closely contested finish. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Ohio 20.4 points stronger on a neutral field.

Ohio @ Ball State Preview

General Information

Week: Week 6
Kick Off (at stadium): 12:00 PM EDT
Stadium: Scheumann Stadium
Capacity: 16,319
Elevation: 951 ft
HFA Rating: 2.8
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Ohio -14.5
Total (O/U) 51.5
Expected Score OHIO 33.0 - 18.5 BALL
Power Rank Implied Line Ohio +20.4
Prediction Markets Ohio 85% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Moderate or heavy snow showers

Moderate or heavy snow showers

27.8°F

Wind Chill: 17.7°F
Wind: 11.9 mph WSW
Gusts: 15.8 mph
Precipitation: 0.02"
Humidity: 94%
Rain Chance: 100%
Snow Chance: 75%

Travel & Rest

Ohio (Away)

This Week: 186.8 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 1764.8 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:00
Rest Days: 7

Ball State (Home)

This Week: 0.1 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 2685.8 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:00
Rest Days: 14

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Ohio -14.5
Total Points 51.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Ohio 0.1
Ball State -20.3
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 187 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Ball State +7
HFA: Scheumann Stadium
Capacity 16,319
Elevation 951 ft
Weather: Moderate or heavy snow showers
Temperature 27.8°F
Wind Speed 11.9 mph
Your Line Ball State -20.4
Implied Value —

What are the key factors for Ohio vs Ball State?

Ohio: Key Factors

Ball State: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Ohio travels 187 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Ball State won by 6 in a closely contested finish.

Ball State covered the spread, covering the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 17.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Scheumann Stadium?

At 27.8°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Precipitation chance is 100%, pointing to a wet-field game. High precip probability increases fumble risk and typically compresses both team totals.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Ohio and Ball State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Ohio (0.1) over Ball State (-20.3) by 20.4 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Ball State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Ball State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Ohio and Ball State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

Ball State won and Ball State covered the spread.