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Week 6 •
Huskie Stadium

Miami (OH)25 @FINAL 14Northern Illinois

1-3 MAC Power rating: -5.4
1-3 MAC Power rating: -14.3

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
M-OH -4.5
PM Implied
M-OH -3.9
Blue Chip model
M-OH -7.8
Edge
-3.3M-OH
See details
◂ favors M-OHfavors NIU ▸Market: M-OH -4.5
‹ 8.9 M-OH
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
NIU
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
1 M-OH1 NIU2 M-OH2 NIU3 M-OH3 NIUModel: M-OH -7.8

Betting information

Spread
M-OH -4.5
Total
38.5
Odds implied score
M-OH 21.5 – 17.0 NIU
Prediction markets
M-OH 66% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Miami (OH) defeated Northern Illinois 25–14 in a double-digit victory. Miami (OH) covered by 6.5; Game went Over by 0.5. The market closed at Miami (OH) -4.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Miami (OH) -7.8 - a gap of 3.3 points toward Miami (OH), of which 2.5 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for Miami (OH) vs Northern Illinois?

At kickoff, conditions at Huskie Stadium were Clear, 77°F with winds of 9 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Miami (OH) travels 270 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Miami (OH) arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Miami (OH) won by 11 in a double-digit victory.

Miami (OH) covered the spread.

The total went Over by 0.5 points.

How do Miami (OH) and Northern Illinois compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Miami (OH) (-5.4) over Northern Illinois (-14.3) by 8.9 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Northern Illinois faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Northern Illinois brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Miami (OH) and Northern Illinois?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Miami (OH) won and Miami (OH) covered the spread.

Conditions

as of October 4, 2025 Game-time

Clear

77°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity56%
Wind9 mph S
Gusts19 mph
Wind map for Miami (OH) at Northern Illinois: aerial view of Huskie Stadium, wind from the S at 9.2 mph, gusting to 19.2 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 6
Kickoff (local)
02:30 PM CDT
Venue
Huskie Stadium
Capacity
28,211
Elevation
896 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Miami (OH)Away Northern IllinoisHome
This week270 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total2,058 miles2,480 miles
Body clock15:3014:30
Rest7 days7 days

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