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Week 6 •
Notre Dame Stadium

Boise State7 @FINAL 28Notre Dame

3-1 MW Power rating: 8.7
2-2 Independent Power rating: 26.3

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
ND -21.5
PM Implied
ND -14.4
Blue Chip model
ND -20.1
Edge
-1.4BOIS
See details
◂ favors BOISfavors ND ▸Market: ND -21.5
17.6 › ND
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
ND
no impact
ND
no impact
no impact
1 BOIS1 ND2 BOIS2 NDModel: ND -20.1

Betting information

Spread
ND -21.5
Total
63.5
Odds implied score
BOIS 21.0 – 42.5 ND
Prediction markets
ND 92% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Notre Dame defeated Boise State 28–7 to secure a comfortable win. Boise State covered by 0.5; Game went Under by 28.5. The market closed at Notre Dame -21.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Notre Dame -20.1, an edge of 1.4 points toward Boise State.

What were the weather conditions for Boise State vs Notre Dame?

At kickoff, conditions at Notre Dame Stadium were Sunny, 76°F with winds of 8 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Boise State travels 1,524 miles to this game, a cross-country trip.

Boise State arrives with a 2-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Notre Dame won by 21 to secure a comfortable win.

Boise State covered the spread narrowly.

The total went Under by 28.5 points.

How do Boise State and Notre Dame compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Notre Dame (26.3) over Boise State (8.7) by 17.6 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Notre Dame brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Boise State and Notre Dame?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Notre Dame won and Boise State covered the spread.

Conditions

as of October 4, 2025 Game-time

Sunny

76°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity59%
Wind8 mph S
Gusts17 mph
Wind map for Boise State at Notre Dame: aerial view of Notre Dame Stadium, wind from the S at 8.1 mph, gusting to 16.6 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 6
Kickoff (local)
03:30 PM EDT
Venue
Notre Dame Stadium
Capacity
77,622
Elevation
755 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Boise StateAway Notre DameHome
This week1,524 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game1,156 miles
Season total7,177 miles3,431 miles
Body clock13:3015:30
Rest7 days7 days

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