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Week 5 •
Bridgeforth Stadium

Georgia Southern10 @FINAL 35James Madison

2-2 Sun Belt Power rating: -10.6
2-1 Sun Belt Power rating: 7.8

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
JMU -14.5
PM Implied
JMU -11.4
Blue Chip model
JMU -21.1
Edge
+6.6JMU
See details
◂ favors GASOfavors JMU ▸Market: JMU -14.5
18.4 › JMU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
JMU
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
2 GASO2 JMU4 GASO4 JMU6 GASO6 JMUModel: JMU -21.1

Betting information

Spread
JMU -14.5
Total
54.5
Odds implied score
GASO 20.0 – 34.5 JMU
Prediction markets
JMU 87% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

James Madison defeated Georgia Southern 35–10 to secure a comfortable win. James Madison covered by 10.5; Game went Under by 9.5. The market closed at James Madison -14.5 and the Blue Chip model made it James Madison -21.1 - a gap of 6.6 points toward James Madison, of which 5.8 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for Georgia Southern vs James Madison?

At kickoff, conditions at Bridgeforth Stadium were Light rain, 63°F with winds of 4 mph. There is a 100% chance of rain, though little accumulation is expected. Blue Chip has not been able to measure a reliable line effect from rain, so treat this as context rather than signal. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Georgia Southern travels 446 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

James Madison won by 25 to secure a comfortable win.

James Madison covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 9.5 points.

How do Georgia Southern and James Madison compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor James Madison (7.8) over Georgia Southern (-10.6) by 18.4 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. James Madison brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.7). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Georgia Southern and James Madison?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

James Madison won and James Madison covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 27, 2025 Game-time

Light rain

63°F

Rain100%
Precip0.07"
Humidity98%
Wind4 mph NNE
Gusts5 mph
Wind map for Georgia Southern at James Madison: aerial view of Bridgeforth Stadium, wind from the NNE at 3.8 mph, gusting to 5.1 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 5
Kickoff (local)
01:30 PM EDT
Venue
Bridgeforth Stadium
Capacity
24,877
Elevation
1,319 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Georgia SouthernAway James MadisonHome
This week446 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game153 miles
Season total9,001 miles901 miles
Body clock13:3013:30
Rest7 days7 days

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