Week 5 • September 27, 2025, 04:00 PM UTC
2-1
Big 12
Power Rank: 10.2
37 FINAL 34
3-0
Big 12
Power Rank: 9.5
Cincinnati covered by 9.5 | Game went Over by 15.5

Cincinnati defeated Kansas 37–34 in a nail-biter.

Cincinnati @ Kansas Preview

General Information

Week: Week 5
Kick Off (at stadium): 12:00 PM EDT
Stadium: Memorial Stadium
Capacity: 52,530
Elevation: 935 ft
HFA Rating: 2.8
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Kansas -6.5
Total (O/U) 55.5
Expected Score CIN 24.5 - 31.0 KU
Power Rank Implied Line Cincinnati +0.7
Prediction Markets Kansas 66% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Sunny

Sunny

34.5°F

Wind Chill: 27.5°F
Wind: 9.4 mph SW
Gusts: 13.4 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 67%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Cincinnati (Away)

This Week: 576.9 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 3337.3 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:00
Rest Days: 14

Kansas (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 313.9 miles
Body Clock Time: 11:00
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Kansas -6.5
Total Points 55.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Cincinnati 10.2
Kansas 9.5
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 577 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Cincinnati +7
HFA: Memorial Stadium
Capacity 52,530
Elevation 935 ft
Weather: Sunny
Temperature 34.5°F
Wind Speed 9.4 mph
Your Line Kansas -0.7
Implied Value

What are the key factors for Cincinnati vs Kansas?

Cincinnati: Key Factors

Kansas: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Cincinnati travels 577 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Cincinnati arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

Cincinnati won by 3 in a nail-biter.

Cincinnati covered the spread, covering by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 15.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Memorial Stadium?

At 34.5°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Cincinnati and Kansas compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Cincinnati (10.2) over Kansas (9.5) by 0.7 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Kansas faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Kansas brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Cincinnati won and Cincinnati covered the spread.