Week 4
Sun Bowl

UL Monroe31 @FINAL 25UTEP , Week 4, Sep 21, 2025

1-1 Sun Belt Power rating: -19.6
1-2 CUSA Power rating: -12.9

How did the line hold up?

Market line
UTEP -5.5
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
UTEP -9.4
Edge
+3.9UTEP
See details
◂ favors ULMfavors UTEP ▸Market: UTEP -5.5
6.7 › UTEP
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UTEP
ULM
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2 ULM2 UTEP4 ULM4 UTEPModel: UTEP -9.4

Betting information

Spread
UTEP -5.5
Total
47.5
Odds implied score
ULM 21.0 – 26.5 UTEP

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

UL Monroe defeated UTEP 31–25 in a closely contested finish. UL Monroe covered by 11.5; Game went Over by 8.5. The market closed at UTEP -5.5 and the Blue Chip model made it UTEP -9.4, an edge of 3.9 points toward UTEP. Blue Chip Analytics had rated UTEP 6.7 points stronger on a neutral field.

What are the key factors for UL Monroe vs UTEP?

UL Monroe

Balanced Offensive Attack

UL Monroe's offense was effective both through the air and on the ground. QB Aidan Armenta threw for 136 yards and 2 TDs, while RB Braylon McReynolds rushed for 107 yards and a long TD. This balance will be key for future games.

Strong First Half Performance

The Warhawks built a commanding 24-7 halftime lead, showcasing their ability to start fast. This early dominance allowed them to control the game despite a second-half rally by UTEP.

Defensive Resilience in Clutch Moments

Despite allowing 404 passing yards and a late comeback, UL Monroe's defense made a crucial stop on the final play with an interception. This ability to make game-saving plays under pressure is a positive sign for close contests ahead.

Explosive Play Capability

UL Monroe demonstrated big-play potential with a 72-yard run by Dorian Lewis and a 40-yard TD run by McReynolds. Such explosive plays can quickly change momentum and will be a weapon in upcoming matchups.

Need to Improve Second-Half Defense

The Warhawks allowed 18 points in the second half, including two fourth-quarter touchdown passes. Tightening up defensive coverage and maintaining intensity for four quarters will be crucial to avoid future comebacks.

What were the weather conditions for UL Monroe vs UTEP?

At kickoff, conditions at Sun Bowl were Partly cloudy, 79°F with winds of 3 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

UL Monroe travels 847 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

UL Monroe arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

UL Monroe won by 6 in a closely contested finish.

UL Monroe covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 8.5 points.

How do UL Monroe and UTEP compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor UTEP (-12.9) over UL Monroe (-19.6) by 6.7 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. UTEP brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

UL Monroe won and UL Monroe covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 21, 2025 Game-time

Partly cloudy

79°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity46%
Wind3 mph SSW
Gusts4 mph
Wind map for UL Monroe at UTEP: aerial view of Sun Bowl, wind from the SSW at 2.5 mph, gusting to 3.8 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 4
Kickoff (local)
07:00 PM MDT
Venue
Sun Bowl
Capacity
51,500
Elevation
3,904 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure UL MonroeAway UTEPHome
This week847 miles0 miles
Last weekBye week1,061 miles
Season total1,381 miles2,557 miles
Body clock20:0019:00
Rest15 days8 days