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Week 4 • September 21, 2025, 01:00 AM UTC
UL Monroe @ UTEP
1-1
Sun Belt
Power Rank: -19.6
31 FINAL 25
1-2
CUSA
Power Rank: -12.9
UL Monroe covered by 10.5 | Game went Over by 8.5

By · Last updated

UL Monroe defeated UTEP 31–25 in a closely contested finish. Blue Chip Analytics had rated UTEP 6.7 points stronger on a neutral field.

UL Monroe @ UTEP Preview

General Information

Week: Week 4
Kick Off (at stadium): 07:00 PM MDT
Stadium: Sun Bowl
Capacity: 51,500
Elevation: 3904 ft
HFA Rating: 2.4
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread UTEP -4.5
Total (O/U) 47.5
Expected Score ULM 21.5 - 26.0 UTEP
Power Rank Implied Line UTEP +6.7
Prediction Markets UTEP 69% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

43.0°F

Wind Chill: 39.6°F
Wind: 5.6 mph ESE
Gusts: 7.8 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 43%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

UL Monroe (Away)

This Week: 847.5 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 1699.9 miles
Body Clock Time: 20:00
Rest Days: 15

UTEP (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 1060.9 miles
Season Total: 6162.1 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:00
Rest Days: 8

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line UTEP -4.5
Total Points 47.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
UL Monroe -19.6
UTEP -12.9
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 847 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest UL Monroe +7
HFA: Sun Bowl
Capacity 51,500
Elevation 3904 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 43.0°F
Wind Speed 5.6 mph
Your Line UTEP +6.7
Implied Value —

What are the key factors for UL Monroe vs UTEP?

UL Monroe: Key Factors

UTEP: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

UL Monroe travels 847 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

UL Monroe arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

UL Monroe won by 6 in a closely contested finish.

UL Monroe covered the spread, covering by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 8.5 points.

How do UL Monroe and UTEP compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour UTEP (-12.9) over UL Monroe (-19.6) by 6.7 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. UTEP brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on UL Monroe and UTEP?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

UL Monroe won and UL Monroe covered the spread.