Fresno State defeated Hawai'i 23–21 in a nail-biter. Hawai'i covered by 0.5; Game went Under by 3.5.
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Positive adjustment = favours home team
At kick-off, conditions at Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex were Patchy rain possible, 77.0°F, Heat Index 80.6°F with winds of 13.9 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
77.0°F
Fresno State travels 2,517 miles to this game, a cross-country trip.
Fresno State arrives with a 3-hour body clock disadvantage.
Fresno State won by 2 in a nail-biter.
Hawai'i covered the spread narrowly.
The total went Under by 3.5 points.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Fresno State (-5.3) over Hawai'i (-8.7) by 3.4 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Hawai'i faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Hawai'i brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Fresno State won and Hawai'i covered the spread.
