DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026
Notre Dame defeated Purdue 56–30 to secure a comfortable win. Notre Dame covered by 1.5; Game went Over by 34.5. The market closed at Notre Dame -24.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Notre Dame -28.9 - a gap of 4.4 points toward Notre Dame, of which 3.2 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.
Jadarian Price scored four touchdowns (three rushing, one 100-yard kickoff return) and Jeremiyah Love added 157 rushing yards and two scores, powering Notre Dame to 56 points. This balanced attack will be key against Arkansas.
After allowing 23 points and 286 yards in the first half, the defense tightened up, allowing only one late touchdown in the second half. The two interceptions and two sacks show progress from earlier struggles.
Coach Freeman challenged the team to face their 0-2 record honestly, and they responded with a dominant win. This mental toughness could carry over into a tough road game at Arkansas.
C.J. Carr was highly efficient, completing 10 of 12 passes for 223 yards and two touchdowns. His accuracy and decision-making will be crucial against Arkansas' defense.
At kickoff, conditions at Notre Dame Stadium were Thundery outbreaks possible, 77°F with winds of 15 mph. Wind of 15 mph is enough to matter to the total: the market has historically taken about 1.7 points off the number in this band. It is worth re-checking closer to kickoff. Gusts reaching 32 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Thundery outbreaks possible
77°F
| Measure | PurdueAway | Notre DameHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 94 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Home game | Home game |
| Season total | 94 miles | 2,275 miles |
| Body clock | 15:30 | 15:30 |
| Rest | 7 days | 7 days |
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