Week 4September 20, 2025, 07:00 PM UTC
7
0-3
Pac-12
Power Rank: -8.5
@
FINAL
41
3-0
Big Ten
Power Rank: 24.8

By · Last updated

Oregon defeated Oregon State 41–7 in a dominant performance. Oregon covered by 0.5; Game went Under by 10.5.

General Information

Week: Week 4
Kick Off (at stadium): 12:00 PM PDT
Stadium: Autzen Stadium
Capacity: 54,000
Elevation: 443 ft
HFA Rating: 2.8
Playing Surface: Artificial Turf

Betting Information

Spread Oregon -33.5
Total (O/U) 58.5
Odds Implied Score ORST 12.5 - 46.0 ORE
Power Rank Implied Line Oregon -33.3
Prediction Markets Oregon 99% Win Chance (Kalshi)
Oregon State @ Oregon Preview

Line Value Calculator

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Oregon State
Oregon
Home field: Autzen Stadium
Weather: Overcast
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What were the weather conditions for Oregon State vs Oregon?

At kick-off, conditions at Autzen Stadium were Overcast, 66.0°F, Feels Like 66.0°F with winds of 5.6 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: September 20, 2025
Overcast

Overcast

66.0°F

Feels Like: 66.0°F
Wind: 5.6 mph W
Gusts: 11.6 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 56%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Oregon State (Away)

This Week: 36.2 miles
Last Week: 2741.7 miles
Season Total: 2777.9 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:00
Rest Days: 7

Oregon (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 3566.7 miles
Season Total: 3566.7 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:00
Rest Days: 7

What are the key factors for Oregon State vs Oregon?

Oregon State: Key Factors

Offensive Struggles Continue

Oregon State managed only 7 points and 38 rushing yards from Anthony Hankerson, highlighting a lack of offensive firepower against a top-tier defense.

Resilient First Half, Collapse in Second

The Beavers tied the game 7-7 late in the first quarter but were outscored 34-0 in the second half, showing an inability to sustain performance for four quarters.

Winless Start and Tough Schedule Ahead

At 0-4, Oregon State faces an uphill battle. Next up is Houston on Friday night, a winnable game but requiring significant improvement on both sides of the ball.

Defensive Lapses Against Big Plays

Oregon's Dante Moore threw for 305 yards and 4 TDs, including a 49-yard strike, exposing Oregon State's secondary to explosive plays.

What happened in the game?

Oregon State travels 36 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Oregon won by 34 in a dominant performance.

Oregon covered the spread narrowly.

The total went Under by 10.5 points.

How do Oregon State and Oregon compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Oregon (24.8) over Oregon State (-8.5) by 33.3 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Oregon brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Oregon won and Oregon covered the spread.