Mississippi State defeated Northern Illinois 38–10 in a dominant performance. Mississippi State covered by 4.5; Game went Under by 0.5.
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Positive adjustment = favours home team
At kick-off, conditions at Davis Wade Stadium were Clear, 83.5°F, Heat Index 85.3°F with winds of 3.1 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
83.5°F
Northern Illinois travels 585 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.
Mississippi State won by 28 in a dominant performance.
Mississippi State covered the spread.
The total went Under by 0.5 points.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Mississippi State (9.9) over Northern Illinois (-12.9) by 22.8 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Mississippi State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Mississippi State won and Mississippi State covered the spread.
