DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026
North Texas defeated Army 45–38 in a one-score game. North Texas covered by 4.5; Game went Over by 32.5. The market closed at North Texas -2.5 and the Blue Chip model made it North Texas -7.7 - a gap of 5.2 points toward North Texas, of which 3.9 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.
North Texas improved to 4-0 for the first time since 2018, showing strong early-season form and building momentum in conference play.
The Mean Green rushed for over 200 yards (Hawkins 99 yards, 4 TDs; McGill 101 yards, 1 TD) and passed efficiently (Mestemaker 26/36, 249 yards, 1 TD), demonstrating a versatile offense that can control games.
After blowing a 10-point lead in the final minutes, North Texas responded with a game-winning drive in overtime, showing mental toughness and ability to finish close games.
The defense allowed Army to rally from a 38-28 deficit with a 68-yard TD pass and a tying field goal drive in the final three minutes, indicating vulnerability against explosive plays and late-game pressure.
North Texas forced three turnovers (two fumbles, one interception) from Army's quarterback Hellums in the first half, which helped build an early lead and ultimately secured the win.
At kickoff, conditions at Michie Stadium were Sunny, 70°F with winds of 3 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Sunny
70°F
| Measure | North TexasAway | ArmyHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 1,391 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Home game | Bye week |
| Season total | 3,169 miles | 2,403 miles |
| Body clock | 11:00 | 12:00 |
| Rest | 7 days | 14 days |
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