Week 4September 20, 2025, 11:00 PM UTC
42
1-2
Sun Belt
Power Rank: -9.4
@
FINAL
28
1-2
CUSA
Power Rank: -19.2

By · Last updated

Marshall defeated Middle Tennessee 42–28 in a double-digit victory. Marshall covered by 11.5; Game went Over by 23.5.

General Information

Week: Week 4
Kick Off (at stadium): 06:00 PM CDT
Stadium: Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
Capacity: 27,303
Elevation: 656 ft
HFA Rating: 2.8
Playing Surface: Artificial Turf

Betting Information

Spread Marshall -2.5
Total (O/U) 46.5
Odds Implied Score MRSH 24.5 - 22.0 MTSU
Power Rank Implied Line Marshall -9.8
Prediction Markets Marshall 57% Win Chance (Kalshi)
Marshall @ Middle Tennessee Preview

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Marshall
Middle Tennessee
Home field: Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
Weather: Partly cloudy
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What were the weather conditions for Marshall vs Middle Tennessee?

At kick-off, conditions at Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium were Partly cloudy, 75.2°F, Feels Like 78.6°F with winds of 4.5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: September 20, 2025
Partly cloudy

Partly cloudy

75.2°F

Feels Like: 78.6°F
Wind: 4.5 mph SE
Gusts: 9.4 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 72%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Marshall (Away)

This Week: 281.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 907.2 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:00
Rest Days: 7

Middle Tennessee (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 3679.8 miles
Season Total: 4727.4 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:00
Rest Days: 7

What happened in the game?

Marshall travels 281 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Marshall arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

Marshall won by 14 in a double-digit victory.

Marshall covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 23.5 points.

How do Marshall and Middle Tennessee compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Marshall (-9.4) over Middle Tennessee (-19.2) by 9.8 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Middle Tennessee faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Middle Tennessee brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Marshall won and Marshall covered the spread.