14 Final 28 9 Final 20 7 Final 42 14 Final 51 7 Final 38 31 Final 35 45 Final 19 9 Final 56 24 Final 34 0 Final 34 20 Final 27 13 Final 16 14 Final 62 48 Final 45 0 Final 66 17 Final 45 3 Final 77 22 Final 44 10 Final 42 7 Final 55 22 Final 32 31 Final 42 0 Final 70 36 Final 27 12 Final 59 43 Final 36 13 Final 20 6 Final 45 24 Final 38 16 Final 27 30 Final 23 7 Final 31 20 Final 34 17 Final 72 27 Final 26 6 Final 28 33 Final 30 3 Final 69 17 Final 45 7 Final 31 10 Final 17 10 Final 42 18 Final 16 20 Final 38 17 Final 20 14 Final 56 21 Final 20 6 Final 54 3 Final 56 14 Final 56 9 Final 63 3 Final 35 33 Final 31 24 Final 21 21 Final 45 17 Final 21 38 Final 16 20 Final 3 7 Final 68 10 Final 38 3 Final 45 35 Final 9 28 Final 23 40 Final 42 20 Final 59 13 Final 24 0 Final 68 44 Final 20 0 Final 13 17 Final 34 7 Final 23 20 Final 24 3 Final 42 0 Final 73 23 Final 30 10 Final 34 14 Final 21 17 Final 42 3 Final 48 13 Final 36 3 Final 27 10 Final 70 20 Final 37
Week 4 • September 20, 2025, 07:30 PM UTC
Ball State @ UConn
1-2
MAC
Power Rank: -19.6
25 FINAL 31
1-2
Independent
Power Rank: -5.6
Ball State covered by 14.5 | Game went Over by 3.5

By · Last updated

UConn defeated Ball State 31–25 in a closely contested finish.

Ball State @ UConn Preview

General Information

Week: Week 4
Kick Off (at stadium): 03:30 PM EDT
Stadium: Pratt & Whitney Stadium
Capacity: 36,000
Elevation: 46 ft
HFA Rating: 2.9
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread UConn -20.5
Total (O/U) 52.5
Expected Score BALL 16.0 - 36.5 CONN
Power Rank Implied Line UConn +14.0
Prediction Markets UConn 92% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Freezing fog

Freezing fog

14.0°F

Wind Chill: 8.5°F
Wind: 2.7 mph SW
Gusts: 5.6 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 97%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Ball State (Away)

This Week: 677.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 2008.8 miles
Body Clock Time: 15:30
Rest Days: 7

UConn (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 437.9 miles
Season Total: 3124.1 miles
Body Clock Time: 15:30
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line UConn -20.5
Total Points 52.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Ball State -19.6
UConn -5.6
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 677 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
HFA: Pratt & Whitney Stadium
Capacity 36,000
Elevation 46 ft
Weather: Freezing fog
Temperature 14.0°F
Wind Speed 2.7 mph
Your Line UConn +14.0
Implied Value —

What are the key factors for Ball State vs UConn?

Ball State: Key Factors

UConn: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Ball State travels 677 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

UConn won by 6 in a closely contested finish.

Ball State covered the spread, covering the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 3.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Pratt & Whitney Stadium?

At 14.0°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Ball State and UConn compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour UConn (-5.6) over Ball State (-19.6) by 14.0 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. UConn brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Ball State and UConn?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

UConn won and Ball State covered the spread.