UConn defeated Ball State 31–25 in a closely contested finish. Ball State covered by 15.0; Game went Over by 2.5.
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At kick-off, conditions at Pratt & Whitney Stadium were Clear, 64.6°F, Feels Like 64.6°F with winds of 5.1 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
64.6°F
Ball State pulled within seven points with a field goal late in the third quarter, but UConn responded with a 32-yard rushing touchdown. The Cardinals scored a touchdown with nine seconds remaining, but it was too little, too late, resulting in a 31-25 loss.
After Ball State cut the deficit to seven, quarterback Kiael Kelly threw an interception to Lee Molette III on the next drive, which effectively sealed the game for UConn. This turnover was a critical momentum shift that prevented the Cardinals from tying or taking the lead.
Kiael Kelly completed 17 of 24 passes for 209 yards, showing efficiency and the ability to move the ball through the air. This performance suggests the passing game could be a strength moving forward if the team can avoid turnovers.
Ball State allowed UConn's Cam Edwards to rush for 194 yards and two touchdowns, including a 67-yard score late in the game. The inability to contain the run was a major factor in the loss and will need to be addressed in future games.
With the loss, Ball State falls to 1-3 on the season. The team has shown resilience by competing closely in games, but must improve in key areas like run defense and turnover margin to turn close losses into wins.
Ball State travels 677 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.
UConn won by 6 in a closely contested finish.
Ball State covered the spread comfortably.
The total went Over by 2.5 points.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour UConn (-5.6) over Ball State (-19.6) by 14.0 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. UConn brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
UConn won and Ball State covered the spread.
