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Week 3 •
Maverik Stadium

Air Force30 @FINAL 49Utah State

1-0 MW Power rating: -10.1
1-1 MW Power rating: -4.9

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
AF -4.0
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
USU -7.3
Edge
+11.3USU
See details
◂ favors AFfavors USU ▸Market: AF -4.0
USU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
USU
AF
no impact
no impact
no impact
5 AF5 USU10 AF10 USUModel: USU -7.3

Betting information

Spread
AF -4.0
Total
51.5
Odds implied score
AF 27.8 – 23.8 USU

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Utah State defeated Air Force 49–30 to secure a comfortable win. Utah State covered by 23.0; Game went Over by 27.5. The market closed at Air Force -4.0 and the Blue Chip model made it Utah State -7.3 - a gap of 11.3 points toward Utah State, of which 10.3 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for Air Force vs Utah State?

At kickoff, conditions at Maverik Stadium were Partly cloudy, 48°F, wind chill 45°F with winds of 5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Air Force travels 414 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Utah State won by 19 to secure a comfortable win.

Utah State covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 27.5 points.

How do Air Force and Utah State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Utah State (-4.9) over Air Force (-10.1) by 5.2 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Utah State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Air Force and Utah State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Utah State won and Utah State covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 14, 2025 Game-time

Partly cloudy

48°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity55%
Wind5 mph ESE
Gusts10 mph
Wind chill45°F
Wind map for Air Force at Utah State: aerial view of Maverik Stadium, wind from the ESE at 4.7 mph, gusting to 9.8 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 3
Kickoff (local)
07:45 PM MDT
Venue
Maverik Stadium
Capacity
25,513
Elevation
4,721 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Air ForceAway Utah StateHome
This week414 miles0 miles
Last weekBye week2,307 miles
Season total414 miles2,307 miles
Body clock19:4519:45
Rest15 days8 days

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