14 Final 28 9 Final 20 7 Final 42 14 Final 51 7 Final 38 31 Final 35 45 Final 19 9 Final 56 24 Final 34 0 Final 34 20 Final 27 13 Final 16 14 Final 62 48 Final 45 0 Final 66 17 Final 45 3 Final 77 22 Final 44 10 Final 42 7 Final 55 22 Final 32 31 Final 42 0 Final 70 36 Final 27 12 Final 59 43 Final 36 13 Final 20 6 Final 45 24 Final 38 16 Final 27 30 Final 23 7 Final 31 20 Final 34 17 Final 72 27 Final 26 6 Final 28 33 Final 30 3 Final 69 17 Final 45 7 Final 31 10 Final 17 10 Final 42 18 Final 16 20 Final 38 17 Final 20 14 Final 56 21 Final 20 6 Final 54 3 Final 56 14 Final 56 9 Final 63 3 Final 35 33 Final 31 24 Final 21 21 Final 45 17 Final 21 38 Final 16 20 Final 3 7 Final 68 10 Final 38 3 Final 45 35 Final 9 28 Final 23 40 Final 42 20 Final 59 13 Final 24 0 Final 68 44 Final 20 0 Final 13 17 Final 34 7 Final 23 20 Final 24 3 Final 42 0 Final 73 23 Final 30 10 Final 34 14 Final 21 17 Final 42 3 Final 48 13 Final 36 3 Final 27 10 Final 70 20 Final 37
Week 3 • September 14, 2025, 01:45 AM UTC
Air Force @ Utah State
1-0
MW
Power Rank: -10.1
30 FINAL 49
1-1
MW
Power Rank: -4.9
Utah State covered by 22.5 | Game went Over by 27.5

By · Last updated

Utah State defeated Air Force 49–30 to secure a comfortable win.

Air Force @ Utah State Preview

General Information

Week: Week 3
Kick Off (at stadium): 07:45 PM MDT
Stadium: Maverik Stadium
Capacity: 25,513
Elevation: 4721 ft
HFA Rating: 2.5
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Air Force -3.5
Total (O/U) 51.5
Expected Score AF 27.5 - 24.0 USU
Power Rank Implied Line Utah State +5.2
Prediction Markets Air Force 50% Utah State 50% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

31.5°F

Wind Chill: 27.5°F
Wind: 4.0 mph E
Gusts: 8.5 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 50%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Air Force (Away)

This Week: 413.7 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 632.3 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:45
Rest Days: 15

Utah State (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 2306.8 miles
Season Total: 2306.8 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:45
Rest Days: 8

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Air Force -3.5
Total Points 51.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Air Force -10.1
Utah State -4.9
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 414 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Air Force +7
HFA: Maverik Stadium
Capacity 25,513
Elevation 4721 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 31.5°F
Wind Speed 4.0 mph
Your Line Utah State +5.2
Implied Value —

What are the key factors for Air Force vs Utah State?

Air Force: Key Factors

Utah State: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Air Force travels 414 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Utah State won by 19 to secure a comfortable win.

Utah State covered the spread, covering the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 27.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Maverik Stadium?

At 31.5°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Air Force and Utah State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Utah State (-4.9) over Air Force (-10.1) by 5.2 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Utah State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Air Force and Utah State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

Utah State won and Utah State covered the spread.