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Week 14 • November 28, 2025, 08:30 PM UTC
San Diego State @ New Mexico
9-2
MW
Power Rank: 5.4
17 FINAL 23
8-3
MW
Power Rank: -0.1
New Mexico covered by 7.5 | Game went Under by 1.5

By · Last updated

New Mexico defeated San Diego State 23–17 in a closely contested finish. Blue Chip Analytics had rated San Diego State 5.5 points stronger on a neutral field.

San Diego State @ New Mexico Preview

General Information

Week: Week 14
Kick Off (at stadium): 01:30 PM MST
Stadium: University Stadium (NM)
Capacity: 39,224
Elevation: 5121 ft
HFA Rating: 2.0
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread San Diego State -1.5
Total (O/U) 41.5
Expected Score SDSU 21.5 - 20.0 UNM
Power Rank Implied Line San Diego State +5.5
Prediction Markets San Diego State 51% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Partly Cloudy

Partly Cloudy

43.3°F

Wind Chill: 41.3°F
Wind: 4.3 mph SSW
Gusts: 8.9 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 38%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

San Diego State (Away)

This Week: 622.7 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 13976.4 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:30
Rest Days: 6

New Mexico (Home)

This Week: 0.1 miles
Last Week: 576.6 miles
Season Total: 8815.3 miles
Body Clock Time: 13:30
Rest Days: 5

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line San Diego State -1.5
Total Points 41.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
San Diego State 5.4
New Mexico -0.1
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 623 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest San Diego State +1
HFA: University Stadium (NM)
Capacity 39,224
Elevation 5121 ft
Weather: Partly Cloudy
Temperature 43.3°F
Wind Speed 4.3 mph
Your Line New Mexico -5.5
Implied Value —

What are the key factors for San Diego State vs New Mexico?

San Diego State: Key Factors

New Mexico: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

San Diego State travels 623 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

San Diego State arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

New Mexico won by 6 in a closely contested finish.

New Mexico covered the spread, covering by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 1.5 points.

How do San Diego State and New Mexico compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour San Diego State (5.4) over New Mexico (-0.1) by 5.5 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, New Mexico faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. New Mexico brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on San Diego State and New Mexico?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

New Mexico won and New Mexico covered the spread.