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Week 14 •
University Stadium (NM)

San Diego State17 @FINAL 23New Mexico

9-2 MW Power rating: 5.4
8-3 MW Power rating: -0.1

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
SDSU -1.5
PM Implied
SDSU -0.1
Blue Chip model
SDSU -3.1
Edge
-1.6SDSU
See details
◂ favors SDSUfavors UNM ▸Market: SDSU -1.5
‹ 5.5 SDSU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
UNM
no impact
no impact
UNM
no impact
1 SDSU1 UNM2 SDSU2 UNMModel: SDSU -3.1

Betting information

Spread
SDSU -1.5
Total
41.5
Odds implied score
SDSU 21.5 – 20.0 UNM
Prediction markets
SDSU 51% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

New Mexico defeated San Diego State 23–17 in a closely contested finish. New Mexico covered by 7.5; Game went Under by 1.5. The market closed at San Diego State -1.5 and the Blue Chip model made it San Diego State -3.1, an edge of 1.6 points toward San Diego State. Blue Chip Analytics had rated San Diego State 5.5 points stronger on a neutral field.

What were the weather conditions for San Diego State vs New Mexico?

At kickoff, conditions at University Stadium (NM) were Clear, 45°F, wind chill 41°F with winds of 8 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

San Diego State travels 623 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

San Diego State arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

New Mexico won by 6 in a closely contested finish.

New Mexico covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 1.5 points.

How do San Diego State and New Mexico compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor San Diego State (5.4) over New Mexico (-0.1) by 5.5 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, New Mexico faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. New Mexico brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on San Diego State and New Mexico?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

New Mexico won and New Mexico covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 28, 2025 Game-time

Clear

45°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity59%
Wind8 mph W
Gusts17 mph
Wind chill41°F
Snow chance0%
Wind map for San Diego State at New Mexico: aerial view of University Stadium (NM), wind from the W at 8.1 mph, gusting to 17 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 14
Kickoff (local)
01:30 PM MST
Venue
University Stadium (NM)
Capacity
39,224
Elevation
5,121 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

San Diego StateAway New MexicoHome
This week623 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game577 miles
Season total12,731 miles8,815 miles
Body clock12:3013:30
Rest5 days5 days

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