Week 12 • November 16, 2025, 03:30 AM UTC
4-5
MW
Power Rank: -7.1
3 FINAL 24
6-3
MW
Power Rank: -3.7
Fresno State covered by 17.5 | Game went Under by 11.5

Fresno State defeated Wyoming 24–3 to secure a comfortable win. Fresno State covered the spread; the game went Under.

Wyoming @ Fresno State Preview

General Information

Week: Week 12
Kick Off (at stadium): 07:30 PM PST
Stadium: Valley Children's Stadium
Capacity: 30,000
Elevation: 351 ft
HFA Rating: 2.6
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Fresno State -3.5
Total (O/U) 38.5
Expected Score WYO 17.5 - 21.0 FRES
Power Rank Implied Line Fresno State +3.4
Prediction Markets Fresno State 59% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

54.8°F

Wind Chill: 54.2°F
Wind: 3.6 mph WNW
Gusts: 7.4 mph
Precipitation: 0.04"
Humidity: 56%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Wyoming (Away)

This Week: 822.4 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 12217.9 miles
Body Clock Time: 20:30
Rest Days: 15

Fresno State (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 11528.5 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:30
Rest Days: 15

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Fresno State -3.5
Total Points 38.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Wyoming -7.1
Fresno State -3.7
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 822 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
HFA: Valley Children's Stadium
Capacity 30,000
Elevation 351 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 54.8°F
Wind Speed 3.6 mph
Your Line Fresno State +3.4
Implied Value

What are the key factors for Wyoming vs Fresno State?

Wyoming: Key Factors

Fresno State: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Wyoming travels 822 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

Wyoming arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

Fresno State won by 21 to secure a comfortable win.

Fresno State covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 11.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Valley Children's Stadium?

Precipitation chance is 83%, pointing to a wet-field game. High precip probability increases fumble risk and typically compresses both team totals.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Wyoming and Fresno State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Fresno State (-3.7) over Wyoming (-7.1) by 3.4 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Fresno State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.6). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Fresno State won and Fresno State covered the spread.