Week 12
Ohio Stadium

UCLA10 @FINAL 48Ohio State , Week 12, Nov 16, 2025

3-6 Big Ten Power rating: 4.9
9-0 Big Ten Power rating: 32.4

How did the line hold up?

Market line
OSU -33.5
PM Implied
OSU -22.7
Blue Chip model
OSU -31.1
Edge
-2.4UCLA
See details
◂ favors UCLAfavors OSU ▸Market: OSU -33.5
27.5 › OSU
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1 UCLA1 OSU2 UCLA2 OSU3 UCLA3 OSUModel: OSU -31.1

Betting information

Spread
OSU -33.5
Total
46.5
Odds implied score
UCLA 6.5 – 40.0 OSU
Prediction markets
OSU 98% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Ohio State defeated UCLA 48–10 in a dominant performance. Ohio State covered by 4.5; Game went Over by 11.5. The market closed at Ohio State -33.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Ohio State -31.1, an edge of 2.4 points toward UCLA.

What are the key factors for UCLA vs Ohio State?

Ohio State

Offensive depth shines despite missing key receivers

Even without Carnell Tate and with Jeremiah Smith limited, Ohio State's offense produced 48 points and 222 rushing yards, showcasing depth with contributions from James Peoples (2 TDs), Bo Jackson (112 yards), and Bryson Rodgers (TD catch).

Special teams breakthrough with kick return TD

Lorenzo Styles Jr.'s 100-yard kickoff return for a touchdown was Ohio State's first since 2010 and first 100-yard return since 2005, highlighting a special teams unit that could be a game-changer in close contests.

Defense dominates first half, limits UCLA to 50 yards

Ohio State's defense held UCLA to just 50 yards in the first half and didn't allow the Bruins into Buckeye territory until late in the third quarter, setting a strong tone for upcoming games.

Quarterback Julian Sayin efficient in extended action

Sayin completed 23 of 31 passes for 184 yards and a TD, including 18 of 21 in the first half, demonstrating poise and accuracy that bodes well for future starts if needed.

Next opponent: Rutgers at home

Ohio State hosts Rutgers next Saturday, and the Buckeyes' balanced attack and defensive strength suggest they should be heavy favorites, especially with potential returns of injured receivers.

What were the weather conditions for UCLA vs Ohio State?

At kickoff, conditions at Ohio Stadium were Overcast, 56°F with winds of 9 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

UCLA travels 1,970 miles to this game, a cross-country trip.

A trip of this length is worth roughly two thirds of a point to the home team on the measured evidence.

Ohio State won by 38 in a dominant performance.

Ohio State covered the spread.

The total went Over by 11.5 points.

How do UCLA and Ohio State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Ohio State (32.4) over UCLA (4.9) by 27.5 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Ohio State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Ohio State won and Ohio State covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 16, 2025 Game-time

Overcast

56°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity88%
Wind9 mph WNW
Gusts15 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for UCLA at Ohio State: aerial view of Ohio Stadium, wind from the WNW at 8.5 mph, gusting to 15 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 12
Kickoff (local)
07:30 PM EST
Venue
Ohio Stadium
Capacity
102,780
Elevation
719 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure UCLAAway Ohio StateHome
This week1,970 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game417 miles
Season total13,251 miles5,776 miles
Body clock16:3019:30
Rest7 days8 days