DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026
Navy defeated South Florida 41–38 in a nail-biter. Navy covered by 12.5; Game went Over by 16.5. The market closed at South Florida -9.5 and the Blue Chip model made it South Florida -6.5, an edge of 3.0 points toward Navy. Blue Chip Analytics had rated South Florida 8.3 points stronger on a neutral field.
South Florida's offense put up 38 points, with QB Byrum Brown throwing for 327 yards and 2 TDs and rushing for 136 yards and 2 more scores, but the defense allowed 41 points and big plays (three plays of 60+ yards), highlighting a critical weakness.
The Bulls scored 22 points in the fourth quarter to make it a 3-point game, but their comeback effort was undone by an inability to stop Navy's rushing attack, especially in the final period.
This loss marks South Florida's second consecutive road defeat, raising concerns about their performance away from home as they prepare for a road game at UAB next week.
With the loss, South Florida (4-2 in AAC) falls behind Navy (6-1) in the conference standings, making their path to the AAC championship game much more difficult.
Brown's 463 total yards (327 passing, 136 rushing) show he can carry the offense, but the team needs better defensive support and more consistent play from the supporting cast to win close games.
At kickoff, conditions at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium were Overcast, 51°F with winds of 9 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Overcast
51°F
| Measure | South FloridaAway | NavyHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 834 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Home game | 1,092 miles |
| Season total | 4,667 miles | 5,887 miles |
| Body clock | 12:00 | 12:00 |
| Rest | 8 days | 6 days |
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